CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc6957fa09113bb88e88eedf90f8b2b8f0d5b9a37f6690ee94575f4b03346e40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yawara Esportsof Yawara Esports, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 66c | 939.34$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 33c | 579.26$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Yawara Esports | 74c | 413.17$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sharks | 22c | 309.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sharks | 60c | 267.83$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks | 46c | 263.64$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 248.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yawara Esports | 76c | 246.17$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 222.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sharks | 35c | 218$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Sharks | 77c | 196.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.06 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Yawara Esports | 26c | 193.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 180$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 63c | 170.73$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.77 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sharks | 29c | 169.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Yawara Esports | 79c | 140$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yawara Esports | 68c | 123$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sharks | 25c | 121.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Sharks | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Sharks | 20c | 96.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 92.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 75c | 87.66$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Sharks | 31c | 81.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sharks | 25c | 73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 70.69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Sharks | 44c | 67.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Sharks | 62c | 67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yawara Esports | 56c | 57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Yawara Esports | 58c | 51.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yawara Esports | 65c | 35.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Sharks | 62c | 30.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Sharks | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Sharks | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America PlayoffsSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Map Handicap: SHK (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Yawara Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.