TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Sharks (BO3) - RES Showdown South America Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof paiN, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN60c23,145$13,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,973.7541649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb29f…45b5backed paiN37c13,348$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,003.353641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc568…1a8cbacked Sharks67c12,557$8,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.444843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Sharks39c6,400$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,90484958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Sharks40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Sharks57c4,974$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,135.531,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked paiN37c4,590$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.481,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks39c4,031$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.1866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked paiN61c3,905$2,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.8648948.9%239 W · 250 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Sharks47c3,794$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,010.612,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sharks61c3,518$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.741,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Sharks39c3,440$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.433652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Sharks39c2,999$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.7637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Sharks39c2,968$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.2738841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked paiN50c2,869$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,440.9466446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed paiN62c2,867$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,764.8826360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8b6…fcdabacked Sharks50c2,782$1,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,382.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Sharks68c2,449$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.81,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed paiN68c2,151$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.6712154.5%66 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed paiN26c1,797$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.012,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked paiN52c1,782$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.282,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN52c1,688$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.411,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed paiN56c1,500$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.252,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks63c1,475$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.315,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN42c1,340$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.556,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Sharks39c1,240$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.4276546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Sharks32c1,200$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Sharks58c1,200$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50417162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed paiN55c1,138$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.321,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed paiN42c1,123$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.25,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sharks39c984.99$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.1680942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…fbb0backed Sharks59c840.41$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.414946.9%23 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed paiN61c764.21$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1724544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…935fbacked Sharks68c750.43$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed paiN34c735.57$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.1561338.2%234 W · 379 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Sharks51c734.39$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3352150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.711,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed paiN50c631.3$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.3542154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked paiN46c630.62$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.853,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked paiN63c630$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.251,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18c2…529abacked paiN33c556.06$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.512343.9%54 W · 69 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sharks58c540.09$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.342,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed paiN40c528.72$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2217438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x240b…c32abacked Sharks40c525$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31514543.4%63 W · 82 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed paiN61c507.31$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9637557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sharks40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb950…4dd4backed Sharks44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28056738.8%220 W · 347 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Sharks66c498.5$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.351,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed paiN43c486$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.961,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN49c476.64$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.12,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…24e8backed paiN53c468.93$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed paiN61c450$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.513353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Sharks39c438.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.764854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Sharks71c433.08$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.591145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Sharks63c417.46$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4620353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f5…bfd5backed paiN46c412.31$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Sharks52c398.41$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.562,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked paiN39c382.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.451,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed paiN61c377.49$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.975438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed paiN42c377.34$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3639038.5%150 W · 240 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked paiN32c370.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.764,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked paiN45c362.5$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked paiN43c359.6$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.582,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked paiN33c351.16$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2831…5473backed Sharks57c346.1$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.8210969.7%76 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed paiN30c345$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8688330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked paiN61c328$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.1363038.6%243 W · 387 L-26.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Sharks62c318$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.8419351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed paiN30c317.7$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9514735.4%52 W · 95 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed paiN61c313.23$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0720946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…1fe2backed paiN35c312.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.335653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked Sharks39c310$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.130349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b3…4a99backed paiN29c292.25$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7329731%92 W · 205 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7129…4517backed Sharks40c255$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.051,07637.6%405 W · 671 L+34.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3b0…b4d1backed Sharks39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.526650.8%135 W · 131 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63f5…8215backed Sharks40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…a45dbacked Sharks40c238.1$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8630450.7%154 W · 150 L-0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Sharks62c236.24$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1668659.5%408 W · 278 L+65.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa910…0777backed paiN43c233.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Sharks58c231.12$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.071,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed paiN33c227.27$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7517361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed paiN55c224.31$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.822,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd09f…521abacked Sharks40c222.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.511536.5%42 W · 73 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed paiN60c217.54$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8927037.8%102 W · 168 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sharks56c203.65$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.852,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1831…3ff8backed Sharks40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0913649.3%67 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5fe…311abacked Sharks40c199.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.993857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked paiN56c189$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.751,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Sharks59c185.12$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.962248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed paiN16c180.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6666436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sharks49c176$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.441,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x085a…58a8backed Sharks67c172.54$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf120…ce3cbacked Sharks40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.59145.1%41 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9803…0242backed paiN56c172.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5310953.2%58 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked paiN23c169$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.123,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2753…bb34backed Sharks59c164.47$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.433751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked paiN61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x728c…f47dbacked paiN30c163.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked paiN23c163.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0375833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.