Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c49781013568a50c85b700bc1f8cb11704c1fddd4b04c52a2ccd16af1831d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,219,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,311,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,219,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 568 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Yandex | 33c | 161,311$53,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,133.46 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 32c | 143,351$45,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,299.39 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 47,548$27,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,644.59 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 44,100$28,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,138.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 41,074$26,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,204.42 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 38,266$25,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,757.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Yandex | 33c | 34,091$11,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,093.95 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 33,933$22,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,067.48 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex | 32c | 30,000$9,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,596.87 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 29,079$20,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,779.33 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 26,021$17,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,307.32 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccef…02dbbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 21,168$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,499.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 19,384$12,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,705.79 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex | 31c | 17,865$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.88 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 44c | 16,873$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,372.82 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 15,849$10,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,749.83 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 15,271$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.92 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 37c | 14,225$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892.64 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 13,602$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.51 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 13,118$8,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,460.12 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Team Yandex | 5c | 12,542$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.24 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 12,391$5,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,847.87 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee5…71b7backed Team Yandex | 51c | 12,212$6,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,221.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 11,956$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 9,995$6,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.95 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 9,321$6,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 8,861$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175.27 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Tundra Esports | 49c | 8,570$4,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,344.38 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex | 55c | 7,803$4,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.25 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 7,750$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Yandex | 30c | 7,407$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 7,368$4,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.15 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 7,327$4,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,398.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…5639backed Team Yandex | 34c | 7,289$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.52 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Tundra Esports | 70c | 6,722$4,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.6 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 6,552$4,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.26 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…4bfdbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 6,535$4,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Tundra Esports | 47c | 6,412$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,394.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 6,358$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 6,155$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.83 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…5ce7backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 6,056$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 6,020$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.59 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Team Yandex | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.99 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 5,750$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.12 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 5,333$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Yandex | 33c | 5,181$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,690.79 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex | 48c | 5,011$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,384.72 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6db…00f4backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 4,933$3,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,791.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports | 23c | 4,769$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.13 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78de…b08bbacked Tundra Esports | 78c | 4,542$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex | 18c | 4,480$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.31 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex | 37c | 4,444$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.19 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 4,347$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 4,341$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,258.94 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 4,192$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.42 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Tundra Esports | 69c | 4,175$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…85b9backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,134$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.39 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 4,050$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.5 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 3,789$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.47 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Tundra Esports | 73c | 3,764$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.22 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 3,620$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…831cbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 3,367$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.59 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 3,350$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.48 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…6e8bbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 3,300$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Tundra Esports | 71c | 3,183$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.96 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 3,103$2,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.73 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 3,100$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 3,068$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.07 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 3,042$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.45 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 79c | 3,000$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Team Yandex | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Yandex | 34c | 2,951$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.23 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 2,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.18 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,793$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.33 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,658$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,572$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.99 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…efa0backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,522$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Team Yandex | 40c | 2,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,500$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,484$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.59 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Yandex | 35c | 2,457$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 2,446$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.87 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Team Yandex | 33c | 2,440$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 2,387$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.76 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 2,384$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.84 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Yandex | 31c | 2,350$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,345$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.32 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…9cfbbacked Tundra Esports | 66c | 2,200$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 30c | 2,162$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.41 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 2,160$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 2,126$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…d1dfbacked Tundra Esports | 54c | 2,098$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.59 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,058$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.67 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 33c | 2,055$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.13 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…c65bbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 2,016$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd09b…11bbbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 1,985$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 29c | 1,949$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.62 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.