TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$823,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,008,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $823,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex37c137,896$50,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,707.5554556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1776…e557backed Tundra Esports61c61,014$36,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,036.012450%12 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Yandex1c46,762$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.629145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c68…6746backed Team Yandex5c28,415$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Tundra Esports62c21,271$13,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,082.8216147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex12c19,025$2,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.8550832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team Yandex30c15,085$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,479.518749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Tundra Esports70c14,859$10,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.563857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Tundra Esports77c14,467$11,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.1520156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports61c13,279$8,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.0580056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports61c11,111$6,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,333.2932854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team Yandex21c10,139$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.5315544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Tundra Esports60c10,009$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,008.826637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Team Yandex45c10,000$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.159055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex41c9,816$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.4845139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Tundra Esports76c9,689$7,408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.713068.5%89 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports78c9,187$7,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,029.9718075%135 W · 45 L+18.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports78c9,182$7,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.4434468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Tundra Esports55c9,100$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex31c8,724$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,685.311,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team Yandex39c8,500$3,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.0227153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports79c7,893$6,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.6696357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex36c7,277$2,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.966662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex32c6,659$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.0651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex42c6,594$2,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,785.588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports61c6,380$3,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,488.222647.3%107 W · 119 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports56c6,043$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,642.919153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Tundra Esports75c5,621$4,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.2918362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Team Yandex2c5,556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Yandex28c5,344$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.329636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports58c5,323$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,212.261745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex43c5,222$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,245.526349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Yandex40c5,006$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.5469644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Team Yandex0c4,500$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124522.2%10 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Tundra Esports57c4,491$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,923.023666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Yandex39c4,488$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.519847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex28c4,470$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.431,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex40c4,345$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.7689341.5%371 W · 522 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Yandex27c4,331$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.1918746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Tundra Esports63c4,300$2,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex39c4,180$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,629.9956955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Tundra Esports74c4,090$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.414168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Tundra Esports62c4,000$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,52041042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf755…8e37backed Tundra Esports71c3,903$2,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.067268.1%49 W · 23 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Yandex13c3,630$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.1716725.7%43 W · 124 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team Yandex39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36529348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Tundra Esports57c3,251$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.7113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex36c3,164$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.661,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex38c2,908$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.7838653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex36c2,874$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.391,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Yandex1c2,800$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.28622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Tundra Esports62c2,742$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.943762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Tundra Esports69c2,542$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.052,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex38c2,498$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.8529352.9%155 W · 138 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Team Yandex8c2,444$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9111742.7%50 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x207e…fe24backed Team Yandex4c2,421$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6340%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports58c2,306$1,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.6879559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Yandex38c2,237$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Yandex26c2,038$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5536759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex36c2,027$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.785851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Team Yandex33c2,018$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.2230647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed Team Yandex25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003030%9 W · 21 L-7.6wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-56.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Yandex39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78015848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x678c…1debbacked Tundra Esports57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6463…1f5cbacked Tundra Esports56c2,000$1,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8759257.6%53 W · 39 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Yandex40c1,994$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80020145.3%91 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Tundra Esports59c1,964$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.2244149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Yandex39c1,960$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.435951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Team Yandex30c1,900$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57014744.2%65 W · 82 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba31…d1dfbacked Team Yandex11c1,895$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.261931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex42c1,875$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports63c1,871$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.422,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex33c1,858$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.167440.5%30 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Tundra Esports62c1,778$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.657941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9db…3999backed Team Yandex7c1,713$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.434151.2%21 W · 20 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786a…9cd5backed Team Yandex1c1,706$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.372142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Tundra Esports61c1,664$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.916852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Tundra Esports64c1,662$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.424131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc03d…07e1backed Team Yandex5c1,656$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.664027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.8541351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex20c1,500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30580443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Yandex35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9938049.2%187 W · 193 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+168.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex38c1,496$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.551,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Tundra Esports73c1,385$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9550449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex32c1,300$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41133549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Tundra Esports74c1,267$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0613850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Tundra Esports61c1,200$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4687955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Team Yandex23c1,200$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704032.5%13 W · 27 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Tundra Esports59c1,151$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.0758744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf394…cdb1backed Team Yandex44c1,130$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.053036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Tundra Esports63c1,111$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.955147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Tundra Esports66c1,097$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.135758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports65c1,087$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.421,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8796…e255backed Team Yandex28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Tundra Esports60c1,001$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.1712661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Team Yandex42c1,000$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1533541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Yandex1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9330336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce61…8ef6backed Team Yandex10c999.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.56127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Team Yandex44c985.23$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.58544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.