Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14b41c3278643ff5d3c984e4b34c9b2892c83e2da045eed4e44243bbc6ad4a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof Tundra Esports, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,342,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,642,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,342,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 156,772$85,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,235.76 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 41c | 145,641$59,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,970.51 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 57,325$33,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,022.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 49c | 30,962$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 23,760$13,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,192.92 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex | 41c | 23,025$9,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,331.28 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Yandex | 41c | 21,191$8,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,588.3 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 16,090$6,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,801.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 15,452$8,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,455.68 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c68…6746backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 15,380$8,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 14c | 14,209$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,184.55 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 12,299$7,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,820.51 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 12,060$7,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905.73 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Yandex | 41c | 11,813$4,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,808.9 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 11,500$6,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,574.99 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 11,000$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,430 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Tundra Esports | 70c | 10,741$7,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 71c | 10,250$7,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,254.43 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 10,000$5,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.78 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…8216backed Team Yandex | 43c | 8,642$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 8,314$3,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,274.65 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex | 42c | 8,052$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.51 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Yandex | 42c | 7,919$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 7,890$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…4179backed Team Yandex | 54c | 7,722$4,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,134.05 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 6,879$3,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.83 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Tundra Esports | 28c | 6,624$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.23 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Tundra Esports | 76c | 6,371$4,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.44 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 6,265$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.45 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Tundra Esports | 25c | 6,253$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,678.87 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 25c | 6,002$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472.02 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Yandex | 44c | 5,800$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Yandex | 76c | 5,636$4,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,309.96 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Yandex | 25c | 5,296$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Team Yandex | 46c | 5,233$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.87 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Tundra Esports | 45c | 5,105$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.65 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.91 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Team Yandex | 64c | 4,984$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.5 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,888$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.66 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Tundra Esports | 35c | 4,884$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,176.91 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 41c | 4,871$1,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.98 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 4,758$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.48 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 23c | 4,688$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,610.79 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 4,500$2,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Team Yandex | 50c | 4,390$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.05 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Yandex | 47c | 4,270$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 4,092$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.49 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,064$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.03 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 4,038$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.32 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,000$2,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.7 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…520abacked Team Yandex | 48c | 3,901$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…438abacked Team Yandex | 73c | 3,892$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Team Yandex | 41c | 3,888$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Yandex | 42c | 3,792$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 3,680$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.37 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Yandex | 36c | 3,659$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.1 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 3,482$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.43 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex | 46c | 3,304$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.31 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Team Yandex | 26c | 3,009$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.09 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2b…c65bbacked Team Yandex | 31c | 3,000$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,867$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.48 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Yandex | 47c | 2,766$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.19 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Team Yandex | 32c | 2,749$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.01 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd874…f54dbacked Team Yandex | 7c | 2,740$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Tundra Esports | 24c | 2,692$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 2,678$1,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.77 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Yandex | 35c | 2,665$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.76 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Team Yandex | 69c | 2,652$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.96 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Yandex | 47c | 2,642$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.51 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,628$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.27 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,600$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Team Yandex | 41c | 2,590$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex | 57c | 2,560$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.39 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 2,500$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.2 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 2,500$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.99 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Yandex | 43c | 2,334$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.57 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 2,300$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.86 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Yandex | 3c | 2,201$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Tundra Esports | 20c | 2,144$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.11 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 2,080$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.7 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Yandex | 11c | 2,028$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Team Yandex | 11c | 2,011$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Team Yandex | 39c | 1,985$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,957$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.05 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Yandex | 40c | 1,930$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Yandex | 49c | 1,888$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.13 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff96…027cbacked Team Yandex | 43c | 1,833$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.79 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Team Yandex | 43c | 1,828$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.72 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.49 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,693$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.11 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,639$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Tundra Esports | 56c | 1,636$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.78 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Tundra Esports | 45c | 1,636$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.29 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Team Yandex | 10c | 1,634$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex | 41c | 1,601$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 1 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)Tundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-2.5) vs Team Yandex (+2.5)Team Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 53.5 in Game 3?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 61.5 in Game 3?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 3?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.