TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,603,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,181,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,603,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0c8…e371backed Yes5c203,541$10,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,655.2720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes8c157,212$11,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,851.3635123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f91…c5f0backed Yes6c114,281$6,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,427.950%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes6c98,599$5,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,626.76339.1%3 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+122.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes8c84,841$6,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,887.0563835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes5c78,246$3,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.27306.7%2 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes7c66,892$4,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,630.5711316.8%19 W · 94 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6b…a403backed Yes6c58,650$3,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,437.15620%0 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cc…1df5backed Yes1c55,306$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2376…e94fbacked Yes4c50,077$2,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,055.16160%0 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes1c44,444$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.551717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes4c43,987$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.251031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90da…4042backed Yes8c40,045$3,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,303.87812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-78.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0042…321ebacked Yes14c36,100$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.3940%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes7c34,723$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.61240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes6c33,478$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.23185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x253b…0ae7backed Yes5c31,879$1,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.826816.2%11 W · 57 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+273.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes1c28,500$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x801b…e036backed Yes1c26,770$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes2c24,850$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.241466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e8…c707backed Yes7c21,470$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.34015%6 W · 34 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-74%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb10d…a77cbacked Yes9c20,832$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.2550%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x991f…d3c2backed Yes9c20,294$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.423324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-61.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x398d…c7c3backed Yes1c20,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes0c19,401$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.27327.4%20 W · 53 L-9.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes5c16,550$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.533923.1%9 W · 30 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick13cpaid+103.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes1c15,528$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.911915.8%3 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes6c15,261$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.082222.7%5 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes9c15,120$1,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,420.6514337.1%53 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-30.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x716d…4206backed Yes7c15,010$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.432733.3%9 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151360%0 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes6c14,700$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.591022%2 W · 100 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-91.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes7c13,831$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909.151015.9%6 W · 95 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+121.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes0c13,502$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.341024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Yes8c13,459$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…0791backed Yes5c13,439$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.771637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick13cpaid+315.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes7c13,196$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.956785.9%40 W · 638 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0bf…2032backed Yes10c12,805$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.562619.2%5 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-66.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf2…17f2backed Yes6c12,502$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.8290%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1a2…4bc9backed Yes4c12,220$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-52.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08af…bb75backed Yes7c12,094$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b91…e572backed Yes6c11,991$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.143716.2%6 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-56.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d9…407dbacked Yes3c11,619$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.47200%0 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33f0…b7aebacked Yes18c10,966$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…746bbacked Yes7c10,800$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0e…62fcbacked Yes4c10,694$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe312…e0b2backed Yes10c10,433$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.2930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…372fbacked Yes21c10,238$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,124.681163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32a3…a818backed Yes1c10,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick27cpaid-84.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f69…acb6backed Yes6c9,883$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.971792.2%4 W · 175 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-71.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87e3…4f16backed Yes13c9,869$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.6730%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes8c9,722$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.69110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c6…927bbacked Yes6c9,592$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.351672.4%4 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebaa…abacbacked Yes4c9,084$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.75362.8%1 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-68.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca86…cc70backed Yes6c8,899$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b59…58e6backed Yes8c8,699$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.471001%1 W · 99 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-96.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed Yes8c8,669$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.174242.9%18 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes6c8,529$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.783511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-70.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes10c8,343$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.953831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6402…2fa1backed Yes5c8,204$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9643.1%2 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-72.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes23c7,753$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,778.0570%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe616…a30abacked Yes8c7,549$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.19119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes0c7,266$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes6c7,151$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.35180%0 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c7,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3320%0 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c3c…2a87backed Yes5c6,808$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.8780%0 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a06…9223backed Yes4c6,610$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb12a…cb82backed Yes7c6,526$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.7970%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…1935backed Yes9c6,519$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.9340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755d…8a3cbacked Yes1c6,448$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes4c6,213$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.1185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e64…0e46backed Yes7c6,181$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb785…b54abacked Yes8c6,148$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes3c6,044$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.16402.5%1 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746a…1883backed Yes0c5,904$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes7c5,874$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.718919.1%17 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick19cpaid-42.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91d5…536ebacked Yes8c5,715$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.4640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35d…c048backed Yes5c5,676$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.81580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9167…5338backed Yes7c5,184$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.52120%0 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes8c5,147$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc288…3480backed Yes1c5,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254030%12 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+5.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1530…3baabacked Yes9c4,787$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes8c4,776$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.921711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-79.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes7c4,729$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.255514.5%8 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-60.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e13…e649backed Yes9c4,555$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f4…b7f4backed Yes13c4,421$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes6c4,398$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Yes7c4,248$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.592581.2%3 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-84%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes5c4,089$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4470%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77b…26d6backed Yes8c4,030$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.98120%0 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c3,996$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3128113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes15c3,955$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.1740643.3%176 W · 230 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce0…31fdbacked Yes6c3,852$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5f…3f0bbacked Yes4c3,755$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.97520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa4…d1aebacked Yes4c3,747$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8493…e006backed Yes1c3,707$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.92150%0 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4675…54cbbacked Yes7c3,669$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-68.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e8…62f7backed Yes14c3,657$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b4b2backed Yes1c3,562$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.