Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc185f6ce2c105d6e08c258a8b222ed9091191f28a011faec54abff188ac49dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,603,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,181,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,603,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 543 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0c8…e371backed Yes | 5c | 203,541$10,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,655.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 8c | 157,212$11,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.36 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f91…c5f0backed Yes | 6c | 114,281$6,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,427.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 6c | 98,599$5,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,626.76 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 8c | 84,841$6,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,887.05 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 78,246$3,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.27 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 7c | 66,892$4,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,630.57 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 6c | 58,650$3,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cc…1df5backed Yes | 1c | 55,306$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…e94fbacked Yes | 4c | 50,077$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.16 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 1c | 44,444$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 4c | 43,987$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.25 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90da…4042backed Yes | 8c | 40,045$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 14c | 36,100$4,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed Yes | 7c | 34,723$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.61 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 6c | 33,478$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 5c | 31,879$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.82 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 1c | 28,500$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 26,770$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 24,850$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed Yes | 7c | 21,470$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.3 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…a77cbacked Yes | 9c | 20,832$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,883.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 9c | 20,294$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.42 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 0c | 19,401$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 5c | 16,550$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.53 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…8bbbbacked Yes | 1c | 15,528$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.91 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 6c | 15,261$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.08 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 9c | 15,120$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.65 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 7c | 15,010$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.43 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 6c | 14,700$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.59 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 7c | 13,831$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.15 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 0c | 13,502$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Yes | 8c | 13,459$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 5c | 13,439$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 13,196$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.95 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bf…2032backed Yes | 10c | 12,805$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.56 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf2…17f2backed Yes | 6c | 12,502$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…4bc9backed Yes | 4c | 12,220$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08af…bb75backed Yes | 7c | 12,094$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b91…e572backed Yes | 6c | 11,991$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.14 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d9…407dbacked Yes | 3c | 11,619$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.47 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Yes | 18c | 10,966$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…746bbacked Yes | 7c | 10,800$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…62fcbacked Yes | 4c | 10,694$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe312…e0b2backed Yes | 10c | 10,433$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…372fbacked Yes | 21c | 10,238$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a3…a818backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 6c | 9,883$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.97 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e3…4f16backed Yes | 13c | 9,869$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 8c | 9,722$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.69 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 9,592$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.35 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 4c | 9,084$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.75 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…cc70backed Yes | 6c | 8,899$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 8c | 8,699$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.47 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 8c | 8,669$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 8,529$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.78 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 10c | 8,343$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.95 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 5c | 8,204$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.9 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…c7fabacked Yes | 23c | 7,753$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…a30abacked Yes | 8c | 7,549$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.19 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf1…86b5backed Yes | 0c | 7,266$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 6c | 7,151$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.35 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…2a87backed Yes | 5c | 6,808$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.87 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…9223backed Yes | 4c | 6,610$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 7c | 6,526$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 9c | 6,519$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…8a3cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,448$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 4c | 6,213$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…0e46backed Yes | 7c | 6,181$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…b54abacked Yes | 8c | 6,148$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 3c | 6,044$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746a…1883backed Yes | 0c | 5,904$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 7c | 5,874$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.71 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…536ebacked Yes | 8c | 5,715$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…c048backed Yes | 5c | 5,676$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.81 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9167…5338backed Yes | 7c | 5,184$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.52 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…c80dbacked Yes | 8c | 5,147$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1530…3baabacked Yes | 9c | 4,787$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…c3b0backed Yes | 8c | 4,776$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 7c | 4,729$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.25 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…e649backed Yes | 9c | 4,555$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f4…b7f4backed Yes | 13c | 4,421$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d3…3dd5backed Yes | 6c | 4,398$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 4,248$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,089$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf77b…26d6backed Yes | 8c | 4,030$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.98 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 3,996$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.31 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 15c | 3,955$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.17 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce0…31fdbacked Yes | 6c | 3,852$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…3f0bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,755$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa4…d1aebacked Yes | 4c | 3,747$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 1c | 3,707$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4675…54cbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,669$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…62f7backed Yes | 14c | 3,657$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b4b2backed Yes | 1c | 3,562$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.