Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19cf0d6b12b45d77f8f821e15ca734be735658743149d878ae90dc5e5824e23f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,086,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,003,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed Yes | 8c | 68,594$5,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,819.75 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 7c | 50,897$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.32 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…cb73backed Yes | 11c | 33,045$3,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc8…5671backed Yes | 2c | 29,527$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe157…51ebbacked Yes | 3c | 28,248$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.52 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…81e8backed Yes | 4c | 26,675$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb77b…70a5backed Yes | 73c | 24,000$17,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,410.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 7c | 15,135$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.8 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…f0b4backed Yes | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…c46cbacked Yes | 4c | 13,649$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.62 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 0c | 13,366$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 4c | 12,225$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.18 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 11,875$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.06 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 13c | 11,332$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.1 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…f2c6backed Yes | 3c | 11,004$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 10,575$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.69 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 3c | 9,799$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 10c | 9,034$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.28 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef6…babcbacked Yes | 0c | 9,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 4c | 8,900$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.65 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 4c | 7,800$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,300$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4f…1bd9backed Yes | 3c | 7,126$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 2c | 6,451$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 1%1 W · 99 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -96.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…ec47backed Yes | 14c | 6,284$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 11c | 6,072$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.89 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442c…9120backed Yes | 4c | 5,855$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 1c | 5,800$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 4c | 5,360$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.51 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6d65backed Yes | 13c | 5,246$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.48 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a3…96b3backed Yes | 2c | 5,088$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe119…e30fbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +168%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 3c | 4,918$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.18 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…f290backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed Yes | 3c | 4,437$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.76 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…d309backed Yes | 10c | 4,297$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 4c | 4,146$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 8c | 4,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…338dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,807$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.83 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 2c | 3,500$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,412$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb14f…d825backed Yes | 7c | 3,093$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…087cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,027$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Yes | 3c | 3,000$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca7…960dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,973$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 2,967$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 15c | 2,938$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 2c | 2,880$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +198.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 3c | 2,865$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…b4b2backed Yes | 1c | 2,828$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 12c | 2,803$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.87 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…de98backed Yes | 10c | 2,790$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 8c | 2,752$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5c…d35cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,711$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…2065backed Yes | 4c | 2,564$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…f719backed Yes | 4c | 2,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x190e…afe1backed Yes | 2c | 2,361$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…acefbacked Yes | 13c | 2,355$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4131…d928backed Yes | 1c | 2,283$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 4c | 2,272$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…e48fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,113$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…9a5cbacked Yes | 7c | 2,101$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…07edbacked Yes | 1c | 2,096$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4d…0b8fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,075$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 3c | 2,002$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…2a87backed Yes | 7c | 1,993$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.61 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,936$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 10c | 1,807$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.34 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4648…fc9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,780$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.88 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…8af7backed Yes | 5c | 1,758$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…3506backed Yes | 4c | 1,748$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,717$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.94 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1324…382dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,698$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…e69bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,538$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63e…742abacked Yes | 4c | 1,538$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd930…0eaabacked Yes | 8c | 1,505$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…acf2backed Yes | 1c | 1,401$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53f4…1837backed Yes | 4c | 1,316$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,315$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 12c | 1,310$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340a…b84ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,297$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…75babacked Yes | 8c | 1,289$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc29…1c34backed Yes | 3c | 1,195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 45 | 4.4%2 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…57a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,079$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 1c | 1,067$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…6040backed Yes | 2c | 1,043$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…85b1backed No | 73c | 1,031$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 4c | 1,009$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21be…410ebacked Yes | 7c | 989.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…015abacked Yes | 3c | 974.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 33c | 948.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…70a3backed Yes | 1c | 922.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Yes | 3c | 916.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.