Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96c7650600ccaefbe0f5a0e1176073d5ab289645d7eb3c9e0da0278a5c994228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,790,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,547,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,790,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 641 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7a1…9dcebacked Yes | 22c | 86,139$18,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,843.49 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 73,698$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.2 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 4c | 67,723$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,991.67 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…abacbacked Yes | 2c | 66,529$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.58 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 24c | 64,040$15,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,423.77 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 4c | 54,806$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,246.95 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8150…d03fbacked Yes | 38c | 47,996$18,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,181.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…a55cbacked No | 80c | 44,687$35,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,002.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a882backed Yes | 2c | 41,823$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 75c | 35,968$26,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,019.05 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 16c | 35,834$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.28 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1168…8d94backed Yes | 2c | 35,652$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.53 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 73c | 34,089$24,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,289.78 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…fc73backed Yes | 32c | 29,956$9,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.06 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd4…84ddbacked No | 52c | 27,225$14,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,975.55 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…9a8abacked Yes | 1c | 24,358$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.09 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…620bbacked No | 66c | 21,412$14,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 6c | 20,300$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…9cffbacked Yes | 4c | 19,825$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.47 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…a922backed Yes | 52c | 18,295$9,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,445.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…238cbacked No | 54c | 17,754$9,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,107.88 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 17,247$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…50aebacked Yes | 8c | 16,824$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d7…d309backed Yes | 1c | 16,367$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 16c | 15,370$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.5 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…9f3abacked Yes | 7c | 15,113$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 49c | 14,761$7,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,232.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…efacbacked Yes | 42c | 14,664$6,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8493…e006backed Yes | 0c | 14,298$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e4…354ebacked Yes | 34c | 13,550$4,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,544.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 4c | 13,236$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.76 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbe…7e51backed Yes | 3c | 13,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 71c | 12,940$9,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…b5d9backed Yes | 52c | 12,606$6,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,584.25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa183…a3d8backed Yes | 48c | 12,232$5,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,871.17 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…ec47backed Yes | 2c | 11,608$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…215bbacked Yes | 40c | 11,420$4,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,568 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -45%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…3eafbacked Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 103 | 13.6%14 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…c1d5backed Yes | 3c | 9,987$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.65 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 11c | 9,628$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbce…8faabacked Yes | 44c | 9,590$4,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,219.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…0a30backed No | 69c | 9,551$6,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,980.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…e94dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,935$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.03 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc707…12bebacked Yes | 18c | 8,600$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 56c | 8,565$4,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,769.95 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 25c | 8,529$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.67 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Yes | 12c | 8,350$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…c6c1backed Yes | 43c | 8,298$3,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,568.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4d…f703backed No | 69c | 8,100$5,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.98 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…03f3backed Yes | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846a…8166backed Yes | 42c | 7,668$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,241 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a16…7439backed Yes | 40c | 7,586$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.19 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…2e9cbacked Yes | 11c | 7,175$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…338dbacked Yes | 1c | 6,924$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 6,897$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…e0debacked Yes | 3c | 6,519$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…622ebacked Yes | 47c | 6,470$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed Yes | 42c | 6,236$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.27 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa953…8bf7backed Yes | 3c | 6,173$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 23c | 5,835$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.93 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 64c | 5,598$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…d1c4backed Yes | 17c | 5,494$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 69c | 5,446$3,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.75 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…afacbacked Yes | 7c | 5,336$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.06 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 12c | 5,196$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.04 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9265…75babacked Yes | 23c | 5,180$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 43c | 5,092$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.47 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked No | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…62a4backed Yes | 8c | 4,945$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.81 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…a91dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,944$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…a57dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,856$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 1c | 4,730$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 3c | 4,640$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.43 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…24ddbacked Yes | 45c | 4,511$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe699…8dc2backed Yes | 3c | 4,449$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 4c | 4,448$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.04 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a59…a364backed Yes | 6c | 4,318$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 46 | 6.5%3 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 4,247$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.66 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 54c | 4,188$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ae…6ebfbacked Yes | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…abd7backed Yes | 15c | 3,954$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.66 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…63f1backed Yes | 1c | 3,699$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef47…9aebbacked No | 53c | 3,518$1,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,653.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed No | 61c | 3,515$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.88 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…11ccbacked Yes | 22c | 3,475$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…a6a7backed No | 78c | 3,451$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 9c | 3,424$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.47 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Yes | 4c | 3,406$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.38 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…63b1backed Yes | 47c | 3,403$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe976…68d1backed Yes | 33c | 3,399$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…bb7ebacked Yes | 16c | 3,237$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 0c | 3,229$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed Yes | 31c | 3,200$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 58c | 3,122$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.62 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 56c | 3,078$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.31 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784d…d27dbacked Yes | 19c | 3,033$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.71 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…8f9cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,931$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.