Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8883d75d817457c7c188eb4f30210cdc520c8034628da5f45ab3008175128f1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 75c | 12,137$9,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbe…b9dcbacked Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked No | 28c | 9,047$2,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,537.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 69c | 7,705$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.12 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0f…60a0backed No | 1c | 7,653$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked No | 33c | 7,186$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,377.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…c998backed No | 8c | 7,068$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed No | 28c | 6,402$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.64 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ad…cc4ebacked Yes | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 27c | 4,505$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 76c | 4,234$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.77 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 29c | 3,854$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.85 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 29c | 3,821$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed No | 29c | 3,458$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.96 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…7457backed Yes | 69c | 3,200$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 3,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 73c | 2,929$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.65 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 12c | 2,534$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.42 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…299cbacked No | 29c | 2,401$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.8 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked No | 30c | 2,398$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.35 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…07f3backed No | 9c | 2,200$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…eae8backed No | 30c | 2,006$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.94 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…9a1abacked Yes | 75c | 1,928$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked No | 14c | 1,885$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 76c | 1,583$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…67e3backed No | 3c | 1,404$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 69c | 1,379$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.83 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…3f72backed No | 13c | 1,372$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 29c | 1,346$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…c707backed No | 18c | 1,325$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked No | 20c | 1,324$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf597…2370backed No | 28c | 1,318$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.39 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 73c | 1,317$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…23f0backed No | 20c | 1,200$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Yes | 75c | 1,198$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.48 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71e2…31c4backed No | 5c | 1,073$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdc…49ffbacked No | 23c | 1,000$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x323d…b9b1backed No | 22c | 999.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 25c | 995.15$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.81 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…95c0backed Yes | 71c | 950.29$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.58 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed No | 8c | 949.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 773.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 31c | 773.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 23c | 763.37$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.27 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 70c | 683.43$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5b32backed Yes | 70c | 683.43$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked No | 8c | 679.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…05e6backed Yes | 72c | 625.71$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed No | 8c | 599.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…de4cbacked Yes | 71c | 574.94$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…cbd5backed Yes | 72c | 569.33$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…3c6abacked Yes | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…b686backed Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7614…ac0abacked Yes | 70c | 497.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 69c | 491.36$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…6ca4backed No | 31c | 470.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 43cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9984…96b4backed Yes | 70c | 462.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 69c | 459.28$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed No | 9c | 406.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 29c | 399.95$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…2974backed No | 10c | 391.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 77c | 389.61$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…4768backed No | 30c | 383.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf465…28e9backed No | 30c | 341.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…5813backed No | 17c | 329.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…2f48backed Yes | 70c | 315.85$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa957…318bbacked Yes | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…b70bbacked No | 30c | 299.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…97cebacked No | 33c | 290.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 67c | 261.72$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 9c | 260.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…f2b5backed Yes | 70c | 255.27$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 71c | 252.87$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…bc7cbacked Yes | 69c | 250$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b1…e850backed Yes | 71c | 244.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6958…d215backed Yes | 70c | 230.18$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…e37bbacked Yes | 70c | 228.94$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Yes | 73c | 221.35$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 70c | 205.03$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…d8bcbacked Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 30c | 199.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e114backed Yes | 76c | 189.49$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d3…752fbacked No | 30c | 185.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…5c3fbacked No | 24c | 174.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930c…2651backed No | 11c | 165.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…43e3backed Yes | 70c | 164.12$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.38 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ab…82b4backed Yes | 71c | 162.51$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…9559backed No | 28c | 161.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.81 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed No | 28c | 160.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…403bbacked No | 29c | 155.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…8f19backed Yes | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…b5acbacked No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 75c | 148.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…6974backed No | 28c | 144.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 24c | 139.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x90d2…a6b3backed Yes | 70c | 136.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.