TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64c6…8f19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST4459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$228
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107.99
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103.4
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+212.5%+$217.6
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+203%+$120.6
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+525%+$126
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$36.8
Pacers vs. Sunsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+75.4%+$30.18
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$30.86
Spurs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$13.19
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+40.8%+$8.7
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$13.13
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$6.54
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+117.4%+$14.09
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+58.7%+$9.4
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10.71
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+29.9%+$3.68
Magic vs. Netsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+44.7%+$12.59
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+257.1%+$144
Lakers vs. Spursbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST+78.6%+$10.21
Kings vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 5, 2025, EDT2075%15 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$10.25
49ers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+40.8%+$4.35
Eagles vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Rams vs. Saintsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+72.4%+$7.56
Titans vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+47.1%+$4.8
Texans vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Eagles vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$20.5
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$42.9
49ers vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+42.9%+$43.5
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+104.1%+$25.5
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+61.3%+$38
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+31.6%+$36
Buccaneers vs. Giantsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+40.8%+$40.89
Lions vs. Coltsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+31.6%+$4
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$36
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST+108.3%+$78
Bills vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$26.52
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+40.8%+$82.83
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+28.2%+$28.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Phillies vs. Giantsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.05
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bowling vs. UMassbacked UMass · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Minnesota vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$59.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin Depot (BTM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+43.4%+$4.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$74
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.