MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1a3496356eb35f6f7990d8def5ac152df0cad4c39bc0cb9e0e064e7760cdb4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $472,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $472,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Giants | 46c | 260,405$118,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,847.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 63c | 69,043$43,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,314.04 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 55c | 65,744$36,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,334.68 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 54c | 34,268$18,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,763.23 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Phillies | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,800 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 55c | 17,794$9,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,979.38 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 54c | 9,390$5,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,319.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 55c | 9,101$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 40c | 8,430$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 54c | 7,600$4,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Phillies | 56c | 6,238$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Giants | 13c | 6,189$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.78 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Giants | 27c | 5,623$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Phillies | 55c | 5,400$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,456 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Phillies | 56c | 4,896$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.09 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 55c | 4,789$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,159.68 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 44c | 3,615$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Giants | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Giants | 51c | 2,950$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 58c | 2,529$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.25 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Giants | 45c | 2,324$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.62 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Phillies | 55c | 2,011$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.95 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 51c | 1,999$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.51 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Giants | 1c | 1,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 45c | 1,750$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.5 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Giants | 33c | 1,598$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.53 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Giants | 40c | 1,438$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa6…1b13backed Phillies | 55c | 1,213$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…08bdbacked Giants | 45c | 1,213$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Phillies | 55c | 1,100$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Giants | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Phillies | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Phillies | 54c | 849.98$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 57c | 842.14$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.12 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Phillies | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…603dbacked Phillies | 75c | 690$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Phillies | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 78c | 575.65$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.64 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99f…1709backed Phillies | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…de0abacked Phillies | 55c | 545.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 54c | 540.86$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Phillies | 56c | 508.23$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.62 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Phillies | 55c | 500.24$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.98 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Giants | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 59c | 353.31$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Giants | 34c | 352.94$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Giants | 45c | 338.86$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Giants | 46c | 332.75$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Giants | 42c | 330$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Phillies | 64c | 324.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 69c | 319.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Phillies | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Giants | 3c | 294.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…cf28backed Phillies | 55c | 286$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Giants | 45c | 278.91$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.51 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Phillies | 60c | 276.95$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fc…0da0backed Phillies | 55c | 263$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…84f6backed Phillies | 55c | 262.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.32 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -11.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…8b56backed Giants | 46c | 253$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa57d…f0b7backed Phillies | 55c | 249$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 46c | 232.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Giants | 46c | 228.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…62c9backed Giants | 46c | 228$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Giants | 39c | 227$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Giants | 23c | 217.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…3003backed Phillies | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Giants | 9c | 201.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Giants | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…540fbacked Phillies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6544…3bc8backed Giants | 46c | 183$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…af3bbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Phillies | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 55c | 181.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Phillies | 56c | 172.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.7 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Giants | 46c | 171.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…040abacked Giants | 46c | 169$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…f818backed Giants | 46c | 167$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…b277backed Giants | 45c | 155.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Giants | 46c | 152.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Giants | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…50cdbacked Phillies | 63c | 114.31$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Phillies | 59c | 111.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Giants | 46c | 110.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Phillies | 55c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Giants | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Phillies | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…83f3backed Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.