NFL · resolved market
Bills vs. Colts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b2dd47a5037334b15b5e7ffaef7e5368397930c64229d7359369c262588708c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Billsof Bills, Colts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,299
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $106,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,299 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Colts | 34c | 9,831$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.11 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Bills | 67c | 5,000$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Colts | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Colts | 28c | 4,548$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.79 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6898…38dfbacked Bills | 67c | 4,470$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Colts | 33c | 4,055$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.37 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e9…af79backed Bills | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Colts | 32c | 4,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.94 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Colts | 33c | 3,808$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.73 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…9e01backed Colts | 5c | 3,564$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986f…cac8backed Colts | 34c | 2,463$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Colts | 33c | 2,000$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.16 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Colts | 32c | 1,962$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.95 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Colts | 21c | 1,903$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.24 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…7dabbacked Bills | 68c | 1,642$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0a0fbacked Bills | 66c | 1,470$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…9dd4backed Bills | 66c | 1,411$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcc…7153backed Bills | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…9370backed Colts | 17c | 1,326$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.83 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +114%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…3d31backed Colts | 34c | 1,026$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Bills | 66c | 999.99$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Colts | 34c | 999.91$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…70f1backed Colts | 11c | 969.07$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…fb04backed Colts | 6c | 714.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…2f53backed Bills | 68c | 655.63$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Bills | 68c | 625$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed Bills | 67c | 600$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Colts | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Colts | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Colts | 15c | 487.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…99c4backed Colts | 34c | 444.83$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Colts | 32c | 443.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Bills | 67c | 438.38$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bills | 65c | 399.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Colts | 31c | 391.36$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 247 | 38.1%94 W · 153 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Colts | 4c | 388$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Colts | 46c | 373.67$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Bills | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…ed08backed Colts | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Colts | 33c | 304.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Bills | 65c | 300.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.98 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Colts | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…fc8bbacked Colts | 35c | 300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa945…8201backed Bills | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e42…f833backed Colts | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf175…5adabacked Bills | 66c | 299.67$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Bills | 67c | 296.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…5bb4backed Colts | 22c | 277.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Colts | 37c | 251$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Colts | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…ba77backed Colts | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Bills | 67c | 208.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Colts | 33c | 202.22$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…37c1backed Bills | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Bills | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…097ebacked Colts | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Bills | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Colts | 19c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…75c1backed Bills | 64c | 180.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.09 | 186 | 58.1%108 W · 78 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d1…c822backed Colts | 35c | 171.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…b327backed Bills | 66c | 156.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc0…0f84backed Bills | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Bills | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Bills | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…3113backed Bills | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 71 | 71.8%51 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Bills | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…2205backed Bills | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…0aebbacked Bills | 67c | 149.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Bills | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…1832backed Bills | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…abf0backed Colts | 26c | 142.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…f461backed Colts | 33c | 135$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Bills | 67c | 132$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Colts | 11c | 119.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Bills | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 77 | 74%57 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…c139backed Colts | 35c | 114.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf80…7ef1backed Bills | 73c | 113.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…a363backed Colts | 16c | 112.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd5…63a1backed Bills | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 158 | 58.9%93 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Bills | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 71 | 77.5%55 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Bills | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fea8backed Bills | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed Colts | 32c | 108.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Bills | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Bills | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 116 | 73.3%85 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…28d8backed Bills | 66c | 103.03$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Colts | 34c | 101$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Colts | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Bills | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…73b5backed Bills | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4614…1c98backed Bills | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Bills | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Bills | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Colts | 33c | 99.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 140 | 22.9%32 W · 108 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…b8fdbacked Bills | 70c | 99.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5962backed Colts | 35c | 97.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5e…18ccbacked Colts | 21c | 94.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Colts | 34c | 94.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…2f63backed Bills | 67c | 91.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…777dbacked Bills | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.