NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Nets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34ddbce8ae343de1807b60b734e9e86f832971b68e74fd9bb69c19900cb90ed0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Nets | 8c | 17,185$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Magic | 72c | 15,845$11,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,388.64 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Nets | 25c | 15,380$3,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nets | 27c | 10,314$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,785.11 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f09…02b6backed Nets | 24c | 8,250$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b45…ea09backed Nets | 7c | 7,613$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Nets | 0c | 7,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Magic | 71c | 5,924$4,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.63 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nets | 1c | 5,009$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Nets | 4c | 3,640$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101a…3a32backed Nets | 6c | 3,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Nets | 28c | 3,369$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.26 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -10.2wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nets | 29c | 3,050$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Magic | 70c | 2,955$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.25 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Magic | 73c | 2,478$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.88 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0c9abacked Nets | 23c | 2,426$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nets | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Nets | 32c | 1,807$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.03 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Nets | 30c | 1,700$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nets | 2c | 1,570$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nets | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Nets | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.94 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Nets | 36c | 1,405$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.32 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Magic | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 3c | 1,332$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…246abacked Magic | 71c | 1,289$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 70c | 1,032$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.56 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nets | 29c | 1,010$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.01 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nets | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…ce77backed Magic | 70c | 977$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Magic | 74c | 720$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.4 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…a536backed Nets | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nets | 30c | 649.58$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b39…eeaabacked Nets | 16c | 619.49$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1772…bb32backed Nets | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Magic | 66c | 569.97$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.59 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Nets | 27c | 558.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.56 | 239 | 56.1%134 W · 105 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed Nets | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Nets | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Nets | 19c | 493.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…0478backed Magic | 72c | 419.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nets | 28c | 418.72$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Nets | 35c | 399.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…6f26backed Nets | 8c | 370.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Magic | 72c | 337.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Nets | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Magic | 73c | 287.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Magic | 67c | 285$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.28 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Magic | 77c | 284.64$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Magic | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b3…eacdbacked Nets | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Magic | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…97acbacked Nets | 37c | 241.24$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 19c | 240.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 30c | 227.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Magic | 68c | 226.94$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Magic | 73c | 226.66$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Nets | 35c | 222$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked Magic | 71c | 211$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Magic | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd64a…2fa2backed Nets | 16c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 156 | 40.4%63 W · 93 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Magic | 74c | 187.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Nets | 27c | 183.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e44…79c9backed Nets | 29c | 176.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc5…817ebacked Magic | 63c | 169.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Nets | 30c | 168.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Nets | 28c | 167.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Nets | 22c | 166.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 65c | 164.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Magic | 69c | 155$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…255ebacked Magic | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Nets | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…88c3backed Nets | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…86f5backed Nets | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Nets | 33c | 149.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Nets | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Magic | 71c | 140.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Nets | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 71c | 124.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Nets | 30c | 118.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Nets | 37c | 117.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 137 | 27.7%38 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452d…39fdbacked Nets | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Nets | 12c | 110.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…5e2abacked Nets | 48c | 104.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Nets | 29c | 104.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Magic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…162abacked Magic | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Magic | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Nets | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb8…7690backed Nets | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Nets | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…2747backed Nets | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Magic | 63c | 99.97$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Nets | 28c | 98.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Nets | 30c | 98.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Nets | 29c | 96.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Magic | 73c | 96.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Magic | 52c | 93.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Nets | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.