TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66db…7afb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: F1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST387.9%3 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-75.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$25.71
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bucks vs. Knicksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Wizards vs. Pacersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10.48
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$41
Wizards vs. Cavaliersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Bullsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$42
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$39
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Magic vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Grizzliesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2024, EST-100%-$68
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Celticsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Heatbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$94.88
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$13.28
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$120
Will Leicester win on 2024-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$76
Will Southampton win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$110
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester City end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$61
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$28
Will Brighton vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+566.7%+$85
Will West Ham win on 2024-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+556.2%+$222.5
Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$15
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$24.75
Will Spurs vs. Ipswich end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$13
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$23
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$60
All 22 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2024, EST425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Eaglesbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2024, EST-100%-$90.03
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Cardinals vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+220.6%+$136.79
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Jets vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$28.84
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST-100%-$10.07
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2024, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-68.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+322.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pump.fun airdrop in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.