Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa9d78540df620ce99f5fe8cf015b264f49a26f5be7879ecf5b534df461e4a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 78c | 7,025$5,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.54 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9588…d801backed Yes | 9c | 2,222$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 16c | 1,850$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.03 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 35c | 1,433$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,374$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.7 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Yes | 35c | 1,367$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 39c | 1,304$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 9c | 823.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 16c | 676.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.32 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 43c | 600$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.97 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 580$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 17c | 500.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed Yes | 16c | 374.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…e603backed Yes | 49c | 361.33$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 15c | 222$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66db…7afbbacked Yes | 10c | 156.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…8477backed Yes | 16c | 141.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…c3e1backed Yes | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd694…da05backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 66c | 117$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 51c | 111.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 16c | 110.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 31c | 109.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed No | 69c | 89.66$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…abb3backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 33c | 59.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…925ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4b…8d4abacked Yes | 36c | 44.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 25c | 41.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…e346backed Yes | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…e666backed No | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 34c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed No | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd206…8a30backed Yes | 44c | 33.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?Yes won
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.