Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d7597f3ce9f213fcf5c08ac8c60bfbec7b6b19e3602be680057e658d44f8b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 7c | 8,237$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.47 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 9c | 6,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 74c | 2,959$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.51 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,945$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.22 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 8c | 1,500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,229$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 6c | 1,158$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,011$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 31c | 958.03$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.56 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 9c | 800$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8b…4f21backed Yes | 12c | 666.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 8c | 631.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes | 10c | 572.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fd…8f4bbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 9c | 451.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Yes | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 9c | 440.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…a1f3backed Yes | 9c | 373$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 8c | 350.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 66c | 349.65$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x37b9…3390backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa650…47d4backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e07…80d1backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…1cbfbacked Yes | 15c | 267.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes | 11c | 260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…04a8backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d97…a92dbacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 38c | 220$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 10c | 217.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…b372backed Yes | 10c | 210.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa256…fc1ebacked Yes | 10c | 209.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…dd8fbacked Yes | 6c | 208.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 9c | 192$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…d9dfbacked Yes | 9c | 177.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Yes | 40c | 164.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 9c | 140.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes | 40c | 136.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…663ebacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…a328backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c31…5f1bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…d769backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…6215backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 28c | 89.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bea…2becbacked Yes | 37c | 66.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4b…8d4abacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…5eabbacked Yes | 26c | 39.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?this page
- Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?Yes won
- Will Southampton vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.