TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$328,925
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$395,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $328,925 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd178…6703backed Yes76c31,827$24,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,638.4118948.7%92 W · 97 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No14c23,741$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,315.9829643.6%129 W · 167 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a6…dd8fbacked No8c22,278$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.2714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed No27c19,667$5,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,395.1611657.8%67 W · 49 L-0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No26c18,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,679.9518950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No25c17,670$4,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,434.148750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes76c14,289$10,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.425048%24 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No25c12,646$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.7922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cd…32d0backed No24c12,522$3,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,005.125554.5%30 W · 25 L+10.6wins+0.19per pick35cpaid+60.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes74c12,276$9,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,155.481361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No24c8,871$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.8237841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No24c8,175$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.2831944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c9…5a0cbacked Yes79c6,172$4,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+123.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bea…2becbacked No35c5,993$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd028…75f5backed Yes74c5,785$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,485.221968.4%13 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked No25c5,770$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.327968.4%54 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes74c4,500$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1703148.4%15 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes75c4,029$3,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.187448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85e…2aebbacked Yes30c3,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,566.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581c…7f94backed No24c3,125$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.11333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes33c3,086$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,067.863228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb5…aeb9backed Yes77c2,704$2,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…7229backed Yes58c2,548$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.062744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Yes76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+221.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No24c2,500$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed No26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No25c2,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.9968026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e6…fabfbacked Yes78c2,175$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No22c2,146$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.6515337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7600…49e5backed Yes78c2,146$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.099949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb78e…e603backed Yes74c2,082$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes75c1,999$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.787825.6%20 W · 58 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes75c1,515$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4729238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Yes66c1,500$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5053751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Yes76c1,493$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…e540backed Yes74c1,416$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Yes79c1,202$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.331723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-62.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No25c1,200$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.6144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No22c1,200$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26625329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No24c1,180$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.8879650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed Yes72c1,100$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3066360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Yes75c1,041$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.321457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Yes77c1,029$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.461560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Yes34c1,012$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.531850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9478…63f5backed No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505959.3%35 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26025648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No16c877.49$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5466031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed No27c874.62$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.734932.7%16 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes75c840.26$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.064742.6%20 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Yes74c838.91$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.122055%11 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes74c798$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.485641.1%23 W · 33 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xecf2…0d66backed Yes80c750.62$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes74c715.3$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.983345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes74c715.12$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9318433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Yes79c710.94$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.35141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7432…794bbacked Yes60c682.91$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9811937%44 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes75c650.27$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5736845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaed…4a16backed Yes79c650.15$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec6a…486dbacked Yes77c636.93$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c622.89$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.9629044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ca…09a4backed Yes75c600$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532142.9%9 W · 12 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x285f…fb2bbacked Yes76c596.57$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55e…77d2backed No34c583.64$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes75c570.44$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0440254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked No23c568.12$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.035653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x278c…0fbdbacked Yes75c560$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes75c520.72$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.7239561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Yes77c506.75$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.551855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Yes71c496.31$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.314438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes74c488.09$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.915554.8%85 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No22c464.05$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.093551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf1…384dbacked Yes72c462.95$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes66c454.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.531540%6 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes65c444.55$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.597035.7%25 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes69c437.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.5611342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes74c428.28$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.357651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x577e…9c51backed Yes74c423.59$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-54.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x130e…3db6backed Yes42c400$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ef…3abdbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+76.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce51…df36backed Yes76c397.42$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.382100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0129…53cebacked Yes45c388.88$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Yes65c384.75$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf3…50d9backed Yes66c371.14$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.195729.8%17 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef17…6583backed Yes74c364.49$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.493357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1641…08a2backed Yes75c355$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes75c350$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.52955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d3…a666backed Yes77c330$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No40c330$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.437652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa80a…8483backed Yes76c283.59$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes74c278.02$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c5…d5a0backed Yes66c271.46$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+71.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Yes74c270.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.13557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes75c265$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2542755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c6f…7cdabacked Yes74c253.44$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0661…a72ebacked Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163666.7%24 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…0c53backed No79c253.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a0…5f55backed Yes68c251.08$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.56953.6%37 W · 32 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc67e…c715backed Yes75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+144.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.