TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc67e…c715

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Della Maddalena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$26
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Rakic vs. Murzakanovbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.07
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+105%+$74.78
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy backed Ruffy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.96
UFC 319: Neal vs. Prates backed Prates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page backed Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
UFC Fight Night: Almabayev vs. Ochoabacked Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$27.5
Pereira vs. Ankalaevbacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Gaethje vs. Fizievbacked Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$70.8
Magomedov vs. Pagebacked Page · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+185.7%+$65
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+51.5%+$25.5
Whittaker vs. Chimaevbacked Whittaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$115.5
Ankalaev vs. Rakicbacked Rakic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2024, EDT-100%-$94.48
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-77.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 17, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+144.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Porto win the UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2025, EST-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad win on 2025-09-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$557.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.