TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$327,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,482

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $327,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83b9…6124backed Yes55c122,804$67,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,339.439146.2%42 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed No45c90,984$40,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,942.78241.5%34 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c37,166$17,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,223.861,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes55c21,336$11,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,564.383056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No45c20,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.9617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes59c18,448$10,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,619.9816136%58 W · 103 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No44c13,918$6,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,163.9439842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked No46c13,160$6,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000.928241.5%34 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No44c11,025$4,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,887.1814952.3%78 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No46c10,170$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,678.1610850%54 W · 54 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked No53c8,616$4,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,593.342343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No37c5,777$2,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.9222147.5%105 W · 116 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Yes55c5,600$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5204641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No44c5,500$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.8938048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.988258.5%48 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes55c4,889$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,205.0829846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbed…5194backed Yes51c4,537$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.42728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No54c3,716$2,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,007.0810845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes42c3,579$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.2621037.1%78 W · 132 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c3,027$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.111,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No44c2,823$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.191428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ff5…5b91backed Yes56c2,679$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.962615.4%4 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.20per pick35cpaid-31.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No44c2,400$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.9519028.9%55 W · 135 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes46c2,200$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1855959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No53c2,170$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.0538343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes50c2,014$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.5610931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8805038%19 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9004323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.988836.4%32 W · 56 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes69c1,972$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.8520343.3%88 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No64c1,900$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21612737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No52c1,815$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.439043.3%39 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.712751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes52c1,602$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.963860.5%23 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes54c1,389$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.8944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd733…b175backed Yes55c1,364$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.81346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No6c1,299$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.983417.6%6 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed No43c1,259$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.2814235.2%50 W · 92 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee9…26b6backed Yes55c1,251$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.91366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes56c1,107$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.774151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No44c1,092$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.5235860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46011743.6%51 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45012848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…f1c3backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No49c999.22$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.7214044.3%62 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef85…43e6backed Yes55c986.33$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No45c935.44$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.756653%35 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes55c909.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.283458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095062%31 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes77c907.66$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No58c899.98$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d3…4908backed Yes54c861.77$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.321163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a75…ed14backed Yes56c851.3$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.31952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes53c801.89$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3764841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes42c792.62$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.722948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No44c777.45$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0817426.4%46 W · 128 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Yes55c777$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.65933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ac6abacked Yes56c762.65$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.114542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes66c748$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes56c684.26$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.072147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f26…be98backed Yes55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.362050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes55c631.39$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.48345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5352…659abacked Yes52c564.73$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes55c563.63$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1912242.6%52 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09a5…b5c3backed Yes56c559.22$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-45.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No44c554.97$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.1911950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e8e…4a9fbacked No47c546.13$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.68520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-65.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes56c540.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3428639.9%114 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2904158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252470.8%17 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22011245.5%51 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9c…f0c8backed Yes55c488.2$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.692138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c485.95$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6437544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes55c472.4$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.42860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes70c453.07$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.822552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.435349.1%26 W · 27 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes54c442.17$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.43256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.61681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3667…75ffbacked Yes51c420$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes43c418.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.62842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes56c392.86$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.865040%20 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Yes78c380.14$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.834542.2%19 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda10…eeccbacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.371266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d8b…1743backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.641163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Yes55c363.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.633060%18 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes55c362.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.621283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No45c360.99$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.1422054.1%119 W · 101 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.143652.8%19 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed No46c350$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16112330.1%37 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…7863backed Yes55c343$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.351457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes54c323.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.992733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1386839.7%27 W · 41 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+37.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518334.4%63 W · 120 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes54c296$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1629034.5%100 W · 190 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc151…2501backed Yes54c280$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.