Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b8052d406812bfcc9db1f37e1fca9e7e8972702c7836964c836f3e5ae620eac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $500,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $521,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $500,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed No | 72c | 134,451$97,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,441.3 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 25c | 109,248$27,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,237.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 29c | 37,894$10,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,806.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 72c | 28,053$20,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,904.97 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 72c | 26,594$19,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,446.29 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 72c | 25,336$18,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,041.24 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 71c | 22,820$16,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,530.58 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 71c | 21,742$15,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.03 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…1ed9backed Yes | 28c | 17,460$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 31c | 16,295$5,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,076 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 71c | 14,974$10,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.42 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bc…06b7backed Yes | 27c | 14,678$3,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,982.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 30c | 13,901$4,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,121.18 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 71c | 11,222$8,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,221.56 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…b0a1backed Yes | 29c | 9,126$2,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 8,110$5,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.73 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 28c | 7,500$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Yes | 28c | 6,447$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 72c | 6,306$4,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.85 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 67c | 6,300$4,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.39 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 74c | 4,753$3,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.67 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…9338backed Yes | 29c | 4,569$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 30c | 4,157$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…9ec2backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 27c | 4,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 72c | 3,800$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 73c | 3,667$2,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.97 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…4673backed Yes | 27c | 3,656$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 70c | 3,261$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.05 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 28c | 3,120$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Yes | 28c | 2,837$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…adf5backed Yes | 59c | 2,733$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 2,695$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 27c | 2,566$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.22 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 30c | 2,527$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 2,485$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.31 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…9679backed Yes | 29c | 2,425$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 28c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,965$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad8…a395backed Yes | 27c | 1,820$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 73c | 1,800$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 29c | 1,774$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.51 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed Yes | 27c | 1,589$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2174…6de5backed Yes | 32c | 1,574$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…affbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 72c | 1,300$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed Yes | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 73c | 1,174$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,152$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 28c | 1,130$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe39b…67e6backed Yes | 27c | 1,071$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 68c | 1,068$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.48 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 28c | 1,054$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,047$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 31c | 1,031$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.37 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 937.08$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.87 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 28c | 892.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 78c | 887.64$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed No | 70c | 830$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed No | 75c | 817.52$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.9 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…e33ebacked Yes | 27c | 811.67$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 27c | 800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ee…d511backed Yes | 32c | 784.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…4440backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c7…caa0backed Yes | 27c | 750$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7be…570cbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…3f8cbacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 30c | 692.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 16c | 691.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 665.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.75 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…8f64backed Yes | 31c | 646.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.51 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 28c | 585.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe855…c225backed Yes | 28c | 560.71$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 71c | 543.89$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467f…5f35backed Yes | 28c | 533.82$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba71…290bbacked Yes | 26c | 527.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Yes | 28c | 515$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 76c | 510.83$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 504.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 27c | 500$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 32c | 485.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…f555backed Yes | 30c | 485$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.