Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29d0b9a7ca35e8dd0b877c006968c68b5aa8e71b173d181bb05e819dbb7a96a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $194,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Yes | 46c | 38,126$17,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,636.92 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed No | 54c | 33,600$18,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,144 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 46c | 22,121$10,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,011.85 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed No | 56c | 17,785$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda93…f09cbacked No | 3c | 16,225$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.75 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 50c | 14,779$7,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,460.08 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 54c | 14,525$7,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,853.94 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed No | 54c | 14,069$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597.26 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked No | 0c | 12,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 54c | 9,827$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,343.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 44c | 6,300$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,540.48 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,998$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.78 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 51c | 5,682$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,911.21 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbceb…bd96backed No | 4c | 5,650$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…2e0dbacked No | 54c | 5,016$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 45c | 4,478$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.23 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 45c | 4,118$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.72 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Yes | 47c | 3,656$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 32c | 2,399$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.18 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 44c | 2,018$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 57c | 1,600$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…8520backed No | 54c | 1,565$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 56c | 1,150$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.48 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…6509backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9298…b430backed No | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +203.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 40c | 1,005$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Yes | 46c | 977.3$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d8…655abacked No | 54c | 971.31$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…d062backed No | 54c | 926.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 46c | 914.45$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.8 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Yes | 46c | 860.67$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x318a…360bbacked Yes | 54c | 792.67$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.37 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 9c | 785.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed No | 54c | 733.58$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 41c | 700$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 54c | 645$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.3 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…2911backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5295…d666backed Yes | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked No | 54c | 622.74$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.28 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Yes | 76c | 610.83$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed Yes | 45c | 530$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +181.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x541b…088fbacked Yes | 45c | 529$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed No | 54c | 526.47$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.39 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 55c | 525.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.75 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 54c | 469.78$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.68 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 67c | 456.49$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 47c | 436.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…c1debacked No | 55c | 415$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed No | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 64cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0706…98eebacked Yes | 77c | 395.25$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 23c | 385.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.66 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 56c | 358.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 54c | 332.94$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed No | 58c | 322.39$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 46c | 315.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.64 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed No | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 59c | 290$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 43c | 277.04$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.03 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed No | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed No | 59c | 254.71$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed No | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 237.53$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…b1b4backed No | 59c | 235$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f3…8ae0backed No | 59c | 230$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked No | 55c | 227.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa946…9da9backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 57c | 212.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.75 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 45c | 206.91$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.57 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…342bbacked Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…7500backed No | 55c | 194.78$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +228.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 75c | 194$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Yes | 47c | 192.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…a888backed Yes | 45c | 185$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 47c | 184.21$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 68c | 176.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…0b30backed Yes | 41c | 165$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…3a54backed No | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…7a9bbacked No | 55c | 165$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…d8afbacked No | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1d…dc5ebacked No | 55c | 155$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 54c | 153.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.12 | 240 | 47.1%113 W · 127 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…959abacked Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…fe70backed No | 55c | 148.72$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked Yes | 42c | 144.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked Yes | 41c | 140$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Yes | 41c | 127.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509b…429dbacked Yes | 42c | 127.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.