Champions League · resolved market
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c671c3dc928f0315e39d186f4026a88ca6fdecb7f7c101e08e1b42bd9775a1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe634…9597backed Yes | 29c | 10,002$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4153…8828backed No | 71c | 10,002$7,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f40…42febacked No | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cde…8ec2backed Yes | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked No | 72c | 4,637$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.48 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 70c | 3,456$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…9338backed Yes | 30c | 2,333$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 69c | 1,781$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.57 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…829dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,322$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 70c | 1,293$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.03 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,036$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 31c | 1,032$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed No | 70c | 895$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…812bbacked Yes | 30c | 890$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb94d…4402backed Yes | 30c | 890$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…1395backed Yes | 27c | 750$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 30c | 672.35$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.74 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116f…9210backed Yes | 19c | 600$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed No | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 28c | 475$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 122 | 30.3%37 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 468.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 36c | 460$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 424.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.77 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 72c | 381.07$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…a0e7backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4661…aca4backed Yes | 28c | 264.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b07…2d28backed Yes | 29c | 243.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 73c | 192.59$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4976…d0efbacked Yes | 25c | 187.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…a1a2backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 31c | 165$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Yes | 28c | 139.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 72c | 132.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6227…18dabacked Yes | 40c | 125.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…d7a0backed No | 74c | 125.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 69c | 115.47$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 28c | 110.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed No | 72c | 104.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…6ab0backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…d960backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…758dbacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 28c | 87.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec3…d266backed Yes | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked Yes | 26c | 77.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 69c | 74.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 69c | 72.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…4709backed No | 74c | 71.53$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked No | 74c | 68.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 70c | 65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…27b3backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…2785backed Yes | 31c | 54.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3b…6685backed Yes | 37c | 53.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked Yes | 28c | 51.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 27c | 51.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f9…85b4backed Yes | 39c | 51.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed No | 73c | 50.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…a802backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…c2f0backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…4b52backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 28c | 46.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 44.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1210…f18ebacked Yes | 29c | 44.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 70c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…d0d5backed Yes | 28c | 40.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 74c | 40.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…d647backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…1601backed Yes | 31c | 38.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…c35bbacked Yes | 32c | 32.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Yes | 40c | 30.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 28.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 72c | 23.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 17.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-08?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.