TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6b0…c712

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 52 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2025, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+71.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
Kings vs. Pistonsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$100.38
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Warriors vs. Pacersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$275
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+416.7%+$125
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+25.8%+$20.63
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.28
All 19 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2025, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-39.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$249.23
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$165.67
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Xavier vs. Texasbacked Xavier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Chiefsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29
Jaguars vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Colts vs. Ramsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Browns vs. Lionsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+37%+$147.95
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barbara Lee win the Oakland mayoral race?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$383
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.