NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Ducks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb6d32cf3a330c6f3a8ef1a006211158cd15d1213e4450c28c2cd5c29e8f171
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Flames, Ducks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 43c | 6,683$2,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,776.3 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Flames | 58c | 5,806$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350.34 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Ducks | 67c | 4,421$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.94 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Ducks | 39c | 3,912$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.83 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Flames | 59c | 3,770$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.1 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Flames | 59c | 3,014$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.39 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Ducks | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Ducks | 41c | 2,213$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.68 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Flames | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.99 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Ducks | 42c | 1,988$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.04 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Flames | 56c | 1,923$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.88 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed0…77f7backed Flames | 60c | 1,900$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Ducks | 41c | 1,879$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.63 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e22…5bfbbacked Flames | 75c | 1,770$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 70cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Flames | 59c | 1,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Ducks | 40c | 1,611$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.89 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks | 42c | 1,528$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.48 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Flames | 59c | 1,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.87 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4a…ddb8backed Flames | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.15 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Ducks | 40c | 973.17$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.9 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Flames | 54c | 949.95$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.47 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks | 40c | 819.03$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Ducks | 40c | 787.71$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.63 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Flames | 80c | 753.09$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Flames | 49c | 674.33$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Ducks | 52c | 579.63$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.63 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Flames | 60c | 466.32$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Ducks | 48c | 419.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.39 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Ducks | 52c | 348.85$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.85 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Flames | 59c | 323.72$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Ducks | 41c | 299.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.92 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Ducks | 43c | 264$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.1 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Ducks | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks | 42c | 238.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.23 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks | 42c | 237.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.35 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Flames | 59c | 222$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Flames | 57c | 219.16$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.92 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Flames | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 18c | 200$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Ducks | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Flames | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Ducks | 26c | 191.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Ducks | 36c | 171.46$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f6…2e19backed Ducks | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce43…a695backed Flames | 58c | 169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e15…d76bbacked Ducks | 42c | 169$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.02 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…7addbacked Flames | 58c | 169$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Ducks | 42c | 168.97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…8b04backed Flames | 58c | 165$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…1558backed Ducks | 42c | 165$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…1113backed Flames | 63c | 160.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…d3f1backed Ducks | 42c | 156$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2ac8backed Flames | 58c | 156$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Flames | 52c | 153.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…eda0backed Flames | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Ducks | 42c | 145$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Flames | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae5…660cbacked Ducks | 43c | 125.7$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Ducks | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…9da7backed Ducks | 41c | 119.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Ducks | 42c | 117.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8eb…fe37backed Ducks | 43c | 117.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e7…a71dbacked Flames | 61c | 114$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…bcc4backed Ducks | 39c | 114$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…7e94backed Ducks | 43c | 112.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2db…5855backed Flames | 58c | 112$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201e…4743backed Ducks | 42c | 112$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e6…feb6backed Ducks | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126b…c38abacked Flames | 58c | 111$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ca…a847backed Ducks | 43c | 110.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…007dbacked Flames | 58c | 106$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…cea7backed Ducks | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…279dbacked Flames | 71c | 105$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd2…cdaebacked Flames | 60c | 104$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb273…ce62backed Flames | 58c | 103$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…e441backed Ducks | 42c | 103$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7890…8a9bbacked Flames | 58c | 102.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc7…882dbacked Ducks | 42c | 102.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…5909backed Ducks | 46c | 101$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…7a54backed Flames | 61c | 101$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Flames | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…ac23backed Flames | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ducks | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…9646backed Flames | 74c | 93.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…3181backed Flames | 57c | 93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635c…bc4cbacked Ducks | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…55eebacked Flames | 59c | 92.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…870abacked Ducks | 42c | 92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbce…43ecbacked Flames | 58c | 92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777e…e06bbacked Flames | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…4088backed Ducks | 42c | 91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…a047backed Flames | 59c | 90.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d0…2811backed Flames | 59c | 90.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…aa8ebacked Flames | 58c | 89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…944cbacked Ducks | 42c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Flames | 59c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0d…7f08backed Flames | 59c | 86.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…c6c6backed Ducks | 39c | 86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…a60cbacked Flames | 61c | 86$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.