NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Knicks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf9addae6abba8b6e669f9e7442661a8ef7c24780536209099ddc4c71478260a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Magic, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x094b…6550backed Magic | 17c | 132,000$22,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Knicks | 8c | 55,000$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,250 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Magic | 74c | 24,010$17,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.52 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Magic | 15c | 21,036$3,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,851.97 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Magic | 18c | 17,403$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,238.64 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Magic | 17c | 14,150$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,753.21 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Magic | 17c | 12,421$2,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,346.49 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Magic | 17c | 11,897$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,886.69 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 9c | 11,112$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.17 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Knicks | 33c | 10,450$3,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.97 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Knicks | 39c | 9,671$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.72 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Magic | 19c | 8,165$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,652.46 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Magic | 16c | 7,699$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,504.34 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Magic | 71c | 7,553$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.1 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 16c | 7,550$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,342 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Magic | 17c | 5,028$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,179.94 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Knicks | 50c | 4,853$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.84 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks | 38c | 4,638$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.34 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Knicks | 15c | 4,159$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Magic | 16c | 3,852$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.59 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Knicks | 80c | 3,648$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,918.47 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Magic | 40c | 3,175$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Magic | 13c | 3,158$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.47 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9542…4295backed Magic | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.97 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47da…d492backed Magic | 17c | 2,885$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Magic | 14c | 2,737$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,353.88 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Knicks | 57c | 2,734$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.23 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Magic | 80c | 2,507$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.09 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfac3…2930backed Magic | 16c | 2,437$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Magic | 59c | 2,345$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.75 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Magic | 15c | 2,307$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.51 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Magic | 74c | 2,306$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.72 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Magic | 67c | 2,259$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.17 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Magic | 15c | 2,241$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.99 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Magic | 80c | 2,176$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.25 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Knicks | 41c | 2,106$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.91 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Magic | 20c | 2,062$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Magic | 17c | 2,025$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.96 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Magic | 18c | 1,994$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Knicks | 60c | 1,892$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.55 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Knicks | 57c | 1,850$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.59 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Magic | 19c | 1,829$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.32 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Magic | 18c | 1,500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Knicks | 69c | 1,482$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Magic | 51c | 1,469$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.11 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…794bbacked Magic | 73c | 1,399$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.05 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Magic | 17c | 1,320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.2 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Knicks | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f2…df5fbacked Magic | 17c | 1,189$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +274.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Magic | 65c | 1,149$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Magic | 69c | 1,133$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.33 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Knicks | 1c | 1,050$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Knicks | 40c | 1,032$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Knicks | 59c | 1,030$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.56 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Magic | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Magic | 16c | 999.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.96 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Magic | 17c | 985.29$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Magic | 65c | 973.86$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.51 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 22c | 926.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.98 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…2f8abacked Magic | 16c | 900$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Magic | 34c | 893.01$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.5 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Magic | 17c | 883.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…4a9fbacked Knicks | 62c | 874.78$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Knicks | 46c | 833.87$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.87 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Magic | 61c | 820.99$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.19 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Magic | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Magic | 17c | 790.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x719d…4e73backed Magic | 15c | 784.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.67 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Magic | 15c | 757.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Knicks | 15c | 722.53$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…a7e8backed Magic | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Magic | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 178 | 38.2%68 W · 110 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d4…6f09backed Magic | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Magic | 62c | 623.26$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Magic | 14c | 594.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.69 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x870a…6063backed Knicks | 55c | 542.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…e717backed Knicks | 45c | 534.97$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5073…551ebacked Magic | 16c | 529.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Knicks | 6c | 520.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Magic | 23c | 518.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.07 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Magic | 14c | 517$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.99 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Knicks | 28c | 505.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Magic | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Magic | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e239backed Magic | 15c | 466.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 13c | 462$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Magic | 13c | 462$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.94 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Magic | 30c | 459.45$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.03 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Knicks | 26c | 445.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.28 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Magic | 14c | 441.7$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9628…8ceebacked Magic | 79c | 413.56$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +104.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce02…f887backed Magic | 17c | 408.24$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Magic | 13c | 400$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c5…d103backed Magic | 16c | 372.56$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…154bbacked Magic | 23c | 348.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…dc6abacked Knicks | 55c | 329.09$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Magic | 16c | 317.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Magic | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Magic | 15c | 309.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.74 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5be…5d9fbacked Magic | 44c | 301.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.03 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.