Movies · resolved market
Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70df3aba401a9b71c3d8db01a5f58de9e223f14d051bd969de782d799431589
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5021…9906backed Yes | 64c | 5,896$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 68c | 3,650$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…b2f8backed Yes | 62c | 2,646$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed No | 35c | 2,200$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 39c | 1,817$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 45c | 1,625$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.74 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c4…bd10backed No | 43c | 1,060$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…9497backed No | 42c | 1,060$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…8ba3backed Yes | 58c | 1,060$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281b…f540backed Yes | 57c | 1,060$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…2cbcbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…a904backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…61ffbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…33dbbacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdb…8b51backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…8f4cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…48e0backed No | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…e6b8backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…eaaabacked Yes | 46c | 980$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…a649backed No | 54c | 980$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaed…5fadbacked Yes | 46c | 980$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…810abacked No | 54c | 980$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9e…a27fbacked No | 45c | 915$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…c6c6backed Yes | 55c | 915$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd88…10b3backed Yes | 55c | 915$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…168cbacked No | 45c | 915$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf75e…a861backed No | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9141…7ffabacked Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…8678backed No | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…0c9bbacked No | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…7e38backed Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…e296backed Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…f870backed Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…f991backed No | 45c | 880$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 36c | 860$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.99 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 40c | 858.84$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.81 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Yes | 62c | 750$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.02 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 13c | 644.78$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.96 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Yes | 62c | 613.11$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 38c | 588.02$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.13 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked No | 30c | 498.02$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.61 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 492.08$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.64 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032c…ab9bbacked Yes | 56c | 407$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec40…fce5backed No | 44c | 366$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…d2e4backed Yes | 61c | 361.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…6130backed Yes | 54c | 350$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 36c | 326.75$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.28 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…a3a3backed Yes | 56c | 317.3$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee5…8638backed No | 36c | 312.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a72…3c27backed Yes | 64c | 312.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…28e8backed No | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb88…0e56backed Yes | 57c | 286.41$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 33c | 261$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.89 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 55c | 254.19$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -81%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 38c | 252.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf365…64ecbacked Yes | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd8…372bbacked Yes | 64c | 229.62$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…d37abacked Yes | 56c | 222$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked No | 40c | 221.9$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.14 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 46c | 219.18$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.17 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed No | 48c | 205.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…e78bbacked No | 43c | 205$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.85 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b8…fad9backed Yes | 52c | 205$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed No | 48c | 200.63$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…b868backed No | 40c | 196.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…aa08backed Yes | 56c | 189$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d3…6ae4backed No | 44c | 185$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 39c | 183.09$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc85…c8c3backed Yes | 61c | 178.44$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…c6f8backed Yes | 56c | 172$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 50c | 164.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff0…a0edbacked Yes | 61c | 161$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.21 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…cb58backed No | 44c | 158$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c9…10d4backed Yes | 56c | 158$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c6…be35backed No | 44c | 156$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…c9bfbacked Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 54cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…f629backed Yes | 56c | 145$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…d413backed No | 44c | 143$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5d…46ffbacked No | 43c | 138$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…4221backed Yes | 57c | 138$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71fa…7e20backed Yes | 56c | 131$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed No | 44c | 130.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450c…8456backed Yes | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…1c16backed Yes | 56c | 128.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 66c | 126.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 37c | 120$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…e590backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…f2d3backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98f…40cebacked No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…ff36backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b79…f082backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 56c | 117.21$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5d…6f66backed No | 44c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f1…df1ebacked Yes | 56c | 117$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249c…2783backed Yes | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…aa70backed No | 40c | 108.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09f1…715ebacked No | 44c | 108$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Angelina Jolie win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?this page
- Will Fernanda Torres win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?Yes won
- Will Kate Winslet win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?No won
- Will Nicole Kidman win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?No won
- Will Pamela Anderson win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?No won
- Will Tilda Swinton win the Golden Globe for Best Actress in a Movie - Drama?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.