NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe441fd94352342cb21acb58a4f469ac5618d17b011db72d1ce7b12f06ec8d06f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $628,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $628,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Kings | 33c | 43,000$14,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,974.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pistons | 66c | 30,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Pistons | 67c | 24,520$16,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,428.69 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pistons | 80c | 21,975$17,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,524.5 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Pistons | 67c | 21,954$14,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,700.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 67c | 21,856$14,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,743.42 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Kings | 33c | 20,283$6,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,510.97 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Pistons | 43c | 20,151$8,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,676.75 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pistons | 71c | 18,516$13,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,167.23 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Kings | 33c | 17,391$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,678.82 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Kings | 33c | 15,292$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,292.34 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Kings | 33c | 15,105$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,120.44 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 31c | 14,108$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,678.5 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Kings | 25c | 10,323$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,764.4 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Kings | 24c | 8,800$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,722.12 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pistons | 68c | 7,678$5,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190.83 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 29c | 7,100$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,041 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Kings | 76c | 6,987$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.03 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings | 33c | 6,588$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,395.44 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Kings | 33c | 6,063$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.18 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Pistons | 70c | 5,741$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.32 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pistons | 54c | 5,674$3,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,069.02 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Kings | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Kings | 33c | 4,545$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.45 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Kings | 35c | 4,508$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,907.91 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Kings | 27c | 4,328$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.96 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Pistons | 69c | 4,044$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.36 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pistons | 68c | 4,033$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.16 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Kings | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Kings | 30c | 3,929$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.75 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Kings | 33c | 3,777$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.71 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 68c | 3,295$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.33 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Pistons | 54c | 3,084$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.64 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Kings | 30c | 3,040$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.38 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons | 70c | 3,005$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.01 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Pistons | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Kings | 29c | 2,816$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.36 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Pistons | 71c | 2,816$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.36 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 31c | 2,572$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,778.37 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Kings | 32c | 2,474$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.17 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pistons | 2c | 2,335$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 30c | 2,249$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.94 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 46c | 2,215$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.15 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0317…6289backed Kings | 37c | 2,209$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.89 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 22c | 2,128$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.89 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pistons | 71c | 2,059$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.23 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Kings | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Pistons | 53c | 1,999$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.41 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 71c | 1,874$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.35 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Kings | 30c | 1,856$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.04 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked Kings | 31c | 1,774$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pistons | 1c | 1,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Kings | 29c | 1,724$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.14 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Kings | 79c | 1,647$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…265cbacked Kings | 44c | 1,551$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.65 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +9.7wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Pistons | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…cc3abacked Pistons | 68c | 1,357$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.44 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Pistons | 68c | 1,312$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.9 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Kings | 33c | 1,300$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.14 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Kings | 32c | 1,248$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.39 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pistons | 69c | 1,200$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.99 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons | 68c | 1,189$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.52 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 65c | 1,168$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.64 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…3b4dbacked Kings | 30c | 1,123$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pistons | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c3…4d61backed Pistons | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Pistons | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Kings | 19c | 972.77$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.77 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Pistons | 65c | 969.77$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1c…4bccbacked Pistons | 74c | 908.33$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pistons | 67c | 896.63$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.74 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Pistons | 69c | 871$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Kings | 31c | 871$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.99 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Kings | 32c | 843.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Kings | 36c | 824.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.32 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…dc7abacked Kings | 29c | 800$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Pistons | 68c | 773.49$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 29c | 769$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.99 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 33c | 708$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.58 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Kings | 19c | 700.08$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Pistons | 67c | 665.67$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Pistons | 72c | 612.5$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Kings | 38c | 600$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Kings | 31c | 600$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Kings | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Kings | 35c | 589.15$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.78 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Pistons | 69c | 579.71$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Pistons | 77c | 509.48$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 177 | 69.5%123 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Pistons | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Pistons | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c4…a40abacked Kings | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Pistons | 71c | 466.43$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.11 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pistons | 52c | 455.39$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…80febacked Pistons | 72c | 452.78$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pistons | 70c | 450.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.08 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdf…8573backed Pistons | 72c | 400$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Pistons | 47c | 394.84$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.