NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded29a107bf84b0494e97a38d6c0c7067a179ffe55131e88e1dfb97af28ca364
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $909,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,021,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 10c | 54,259$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.9 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Grizzlies | 10c | 50,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Grizzlies | 10c | 50,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.97 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 32,374$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,924.61 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 30,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 11c | 24,500$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Grizzlies | 8c | 19,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Grizzlies | 12c | 18,072$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.61 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 15,220$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.57 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 7c | 11,518$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.21 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…27e8backed Grizzlies | 10c | 10,849$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 6c | 10,436$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.76 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 9,544$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 11c | 8,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 8c | 7,508$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.35 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Grizzlies | 11c | 5,900$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.21 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 9c | 5,170$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Grizzlies | 10c | 5,160$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.04 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 8c | 5,108$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.92 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Grizzlies | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 12c | 4,132$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Grizzlies | 14c | 3,595$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,907$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.58 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,861$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Grizzlies | 6c | 2,787$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.1 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,701$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.3 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,603$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,502$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.58 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Grizzlies | 9c | 2,409$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…af6ebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 2,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,363$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Grizzlies | 11c | 2,309$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f84…560fbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 2,233$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,211$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f22…1552backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,104$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Grizzlies | 9c | 2,016$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.09 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Grizzlies | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,975$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,957$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.79 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Grizzlies | 11c | 1,813$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,765$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,667$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,582$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.41 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Grizzlies | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Grizzlies | 2c | 1,407$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Grizzlies | 3c | 1,404$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Grizzlies | 10c | 1,350$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Grizzlies | 1c | 1,305$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,300$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8367…2a2abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 1,269$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Grizzlies | 4c | 1,257$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ba…697cbacked Grizzlies | 14c | 1,226$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,201$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Grizzlies | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 302 | 43.7%132 W · 170 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Grizzlies | 2c | 1,076$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Grizzlies | 9c | 1,069$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Grizzlies | 8c | 1,018$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Grizzlies | 10c | 1,002$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Grizzlies | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Grizzlies | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Grizzlies | 11c | 940$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Grizzlies | 13c | 930.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Grizzlies | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Grizzlies | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Grizzlies | 8c | 896.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Grizzlies | 8c | 881.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.39 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Grizzlies | 9c | 824.65$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grizzlies | 2c | 818$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Grizzlies | 2c | 806.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…9ddfbacked Grizzlies | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grizzlies | 10c | 755.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…e8cbbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 750$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Grizzlies | 3c | 749.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed Grizzlies | 4c | 659.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Grizzlies | 2c | 649.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 571.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Grizzlies | 15c | 550$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Grizzlies | 3c | 540.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…1ddbbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 502.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc5…0544backed Grizzlies | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Grizzlies | 5c | 457.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Grizzlies | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34f…4d6ebacked Grizzlies | 14c | 450$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Grizzlies | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 854 | 49.4%422 W · 432 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcead…b918backed Grizzlies | 11c | 435.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Grizzlies | 9c | 396.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Grizzlies | 4c | 391.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +7.8wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Grizzlies | 9c | 381.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf65…45d7backed Grizzlies | 9c | 379.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Grizzlies | 12c | 344.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720d…734dbacked Grizzlies | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Grizzlies | 14c | 320$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Grizzlies | 10c | 309.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Grizzlies | 9c | 280$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 258 | 51.6%133 W · 125 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.