NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d277c9cc7ca989edcab4e0f1ccad8aa39ca8cd70a37e4609ae3034144e42104
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Panthers, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x072e…054cbacked Panthers | 36c | 48,672$17,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,522.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…6466backed Lightning | 64c | 48,671$31,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,521.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Lightning | 63c | 30,465$19,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,256.25 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…06a7backed Panthers | 36c | 28,600$10,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,296 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…26bbbacked Lightning | 64c | 28,600$18,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 63c | 8,655$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.22 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Panthers | 12c | 7,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Panthers | 37c | 7,453$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.29 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 37c | 6,500$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Panthers | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Panthers | 12c | 3,883$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.64 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | +29.4wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +202.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Panthers | 33c | 3,835$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.1 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Panthers | 37c | 3,487$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.05 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Panthers | 38c | 3,359$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Lightning | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Panthers | 33c | 2,970$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.1 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Panthers | 38c | 2,900$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Panthers | 34c | 2,884$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.7 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Panthers | 37c | 2,700$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 15c | 2,675$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.11 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…36b0backed Lightning | 60c | 2,280$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…683bbacked Panthers | 40c | 2,280$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Panthers | 35c | 2,110$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.66 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Panthers | 12c | 1,920$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Panthers | 36c | 1,612$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.23 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Lightning | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Lightning | 65c | 1,540$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.18 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 29c | 1,488$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.81 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Panthers | 36c | 1,316$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.24 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Panthers | 36c | 1,137$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.2 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Lightning | 62c | 1,005$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff1f…d5dfbacked Panthers | 38c | 1,005$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers | 35c | 891.06$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.73 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Panthers | 19c | 723.49$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Panthers | 35c | 599.53$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.84 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Lightning | 69c | 597.52$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.56 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Panthers | 35c | 513.56$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.38 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…dba8backed Lightning | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…96c8backed Panthers | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Panthers | 36c | 461.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Panthers | 35c | 444.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Lightning | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Lightning | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Panthers | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Panthers | 18c | 282.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Panthers | 42c | 280$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7605…4ec0backed Panthers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb03c…a384backed Panthers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Panthers | 30c | 258$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…88d6backed Lightning | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…6b5fbacked Lightning | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…fb0dbacked Panthers | 37c | 229.73$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Panthers | 36c | 217.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Panthers | 33c | 217$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33b…4e00backed Panthers | 28c | 195.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Panthers | 13c | 185.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Lightning | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Panthers | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Panthers | 17c | 146.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d47…cecdbacked Panthers | 37c | 145.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc0…1f16backed Panthers | 37c | 144.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Panthers | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Panthers | 41c | 129.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbd49…abb7backed Panthers | 37c | 124.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…0245backed Panthers | 31c | 102.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Panthers | 24c | 101$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed Panthers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Lightning | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Panthers | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Lightning | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…73fbbacked Lightning | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x966f…40eabacked Panthers | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Panthers | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596d…b567backed Panthers | 38c | 95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…13a9backed Lightning | 62c | 95$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…a3bdbacked Panthers | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…efa8backed Lightning | 62c | 94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…fa16backed Lightning | 65c | 90.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Panthers | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Panthers | 30c | 86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…cfa1backed Panthers | 37c | 85.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d02…a69ebacked Panthers | 37c | 84.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…218dbacked Lightning | 64c | 84.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c80…11bbbacked Lightning | 64c | 81.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.51 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…0444backed Lightning | 64c | 81.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcb…a70ebacked Lightning | 64c | 81.16$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3b…08a3backed Panthers | 37c | 80.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae39…c4e5backed Lightning | 64c | 80.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbd…d98bbacked Lightning | 64c | 79.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f2…ef26backed Panthers | 37c | 79.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…4670backed Lightning | 64c | 78.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 63c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Panthers | 36c | 76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdf…d2dfbacked Lightning | 64c | 75.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.