Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia vs. Gonzaga
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d3a0bac75ff22ac2f06134e747147e8bc7b59ec6a90d4474fdbb09c0fc62863
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzagaof Georgia, Gonzaga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Georgia | 2c | 13,070$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Georgia | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Georgia | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Gonzaga | 75c | 4,078$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.77 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Georgia | 25c | 3,462$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.52 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Gonzaga | 75c | 2,222$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Georgia | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Georgia | 24c | 995.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.52 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…6c47backed Georgia | 8c | 994.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Georgia | 28c | 928.62$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.01 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Georgia | 27c | 661.72$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.78 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Gonzaga | 72c | 569$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Gonzaga | 72c | 434$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Gonzaga | 71c | 401$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Georgia | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Georgia | 27c | 372.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Georgia | 28c | 357.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Gonzaga | 72c | 345.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Georgia | 25c | 299$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Gonzaga | 70c | 271.43$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Gonzaga | 72c | 258.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Georgia | 5c | 253.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Gonzaga | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Georgia | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Gonzaga | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed Georgia | 25c | 122.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…bfd4backed Georgia | 16c | 118.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Georgia | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Georgia | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Gonzaga | 75c | 80.05$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Georgia | 25c | 76.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Georgia | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Georgia | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Gonzaga | 73c | 70.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Gonzaga | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Gonzaga | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Gonzaga | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Gonzaga | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Georgia | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Gonzaga | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Gonzaga | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Gonzaga | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Gonzaga | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Gonzaga | 73c | 31.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Gonzaga | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Gonzaga | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Gonzaga | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.