NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff134c5f299737f1ba95dc71ceb008ad991fefda75c1971c1dcb644b141252ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Hornets, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $591,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 704 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Hornets | 26c | 39,003$10,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,255.92 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pistons | 74c | 28,006$20,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,370.77 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Pistons | 55c | 26,049$14,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,694.94 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Hornets | 25c | 20,409$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,025.27 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed Hornets | 55c | 16,245$9,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets | 54c | 13,621$7,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,353.48 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons | 74c | 12,653$9,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,269.91 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Hornets | 30c | 11,673$3,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.59 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons | 47c | 10,991$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.97 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Hornets | 58c | 9,078$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.61 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Pistons | 63c | 8,500$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.94 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Hornets | 32c | 5,464$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.6 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…2037backed Hornets | 54c | 5,280$2,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.45 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hornets | 59c | 5,066$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.1 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Hornets | 32c | 5,000$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.16 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Pistons | 69c | 4,742$3,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.29 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Pistons | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Pistons | 68c | 3,469$2,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.21 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hornets | 50c | 3,263$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.44 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Pistons | 55c | 3,105$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons | 70c | 3,000$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.81 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…6cbfbacked Hornets | 29c | 2,872$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hornets | 33c | 2,848$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.24 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets | 29c | 2,785$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.71 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Hornets | 37c | 2,783$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.6 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…e077backed Hornets | 28c | 2,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…9860backed Pistons | 71c | 2,400$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets | 42c | 2,386$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.03 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…1b7ebacked Pistons | 63c | 2,376$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.42 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Pistons | 60c | 2,353$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.36 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0304…dcc7backed Hornets | 32c | 2,300$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.97 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…d485backed Pistons | 36c | 2,100$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 61c | 2,067$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.96 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hornets | 29c | 1,948$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.16 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Hornets | 29c | 1,712$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.41 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baf…e09ebacked Pistons | 70c | 1,703$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 75cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pistons | 72c | 1,646$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.92 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Hornets | 36c | 1,644$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.22 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Hornets | 29c | 1,604$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.1 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hornets | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets | 41c | 1,459$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.34 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons | 71c | 1,451$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.57 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Pistons | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 280 | 63.9%179 W · 101 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04aa…a60ebacked Pistons | 71c | 1,400$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…f3d9backed Hornets | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets | 29c | 1,393$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.97 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Pistons | 77c | 1,323$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Hornets | 57c | 1,268$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.66 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Hornets | 8c | 1,220$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hornets | 51c | 1,127$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.84 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Hornets | 42c | 1,081$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.96 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Hornets | 55c | 1,058$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.15 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Pistons | 72c | 1,042$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.67 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Pistons | 59c | 1,034$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.87 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Pistons | 67c | 1,029$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.29 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b31…470bbacked Hornets | 32c | 1,020$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hornets | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Pistons | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c9…3734backed Hornets | 28c | 999.98$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Hornets | 30c | 951$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Hornets | 32c | 947.76$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Hornets | 63c | 898.3$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hornets | 2c | 819$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe330…1674backed Hornets | 30c | 813.55$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.17 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pistons | 66c | 800$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.89 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pistons | 70c | 750$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Pistons | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 125 | 63.2%79 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…3027backed Pistons | 69c | 721.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Pistons | 72c | 696.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.49 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Pistons | 68c | 685.24$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.46 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed Hornets | 29c | 684.42$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Pistons | 68c | 680.08$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.63 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Pistons | 77c | 675.52$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Hornets | 28c | 670.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets | 31c | 648$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.06 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Hornets | 34c | 647.91$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.13 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hornets | 28c | 645$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…7693backed Hornets | 31c | 611.04$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hornets | 5c | 598.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Pistons | 71c | 593$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.97 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Hornets | 30c | 575.53$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.66 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Pistons | 70c | 572.44$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…81dfbacked Pistons | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…16d0backed Pistons | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pistons | 52c | 547.6$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.85 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Hornets | 28c | 516$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Hornets | 29c | 511.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.21 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Pistons | 71c | 501.82$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.82 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Pistons | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Pistons | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Pistons | 54c | 500$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…f21ebacked Hornets | 29c | 499.98$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Pistons | 60c | 496.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 306 | 48.7%149 W · 157 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Hornets | 29c | 490$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Pistons | 60c | 471.13$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.45 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Hornets | 29c | 470.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Hornets | 13c | 470.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.37 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pistons | 69c | 450$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.