NBA · resolved market
Warriors vs. Pacers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb94b756a349eeb0885a01daf386faad42950b4163a5aea2b89cb8f7199caee3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Warriors, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $287,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 582 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fad…171ebacked Pacers | 73c | 11,110$8,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pacers | 74c | 9,990$7,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550.57 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Warriors | 24c | 8,408$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.98 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…6bf5backed Pacers | 72c | 8,187$5,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.48 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors | 18c | 8,100$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Pacers | 76c | 7,668$5,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pacers | 78c | 7,352$5,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.37 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pacers | 73c | 7,231$5,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.43 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Warriors | 18c | 7,074$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers | 72c | 6,449$4,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.85 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3c55backed Warriors | 27c | 6,169$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Warriors | 27c | 4,999$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.83 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…8de0backed Warriors | 27c | 4,941$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…88a1backed Warriors | 19c | 4,782$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Warriors | 2c | 4,355$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 22c | 4,156$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.59 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 14c | 4,100$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.28 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Warriors | 27c | 3,800$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.91 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d4…34bdbacked Warriors | 19c | 3,110$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Warriors | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers | 75c | 2,922$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.79 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Warriors | 27c | 2,741$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.03 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Pacers | 76c | 2,701$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.13 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Warriors | 16c | 2,616$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.49 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors | 24c | 2,531$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.63 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers | 76c | 2,291$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.55 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Warriors | 14c | 2,107$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Warriors | 6c | 2,056$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…de92backed Warriors | 18c | 2,056$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 4c | 2,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Pacers | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers | 78c | 1,981$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.97 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Warriors | 12c | 1,981$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.22 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Warriors | 18c | 1,979$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 19c | 1,895$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.95 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Warriors | 21c | 1,778$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Warriors | 18c | 1,623$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Warriors | 28c | 1,556$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.74 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Pacers | 75c | 1,469$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.57 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Warriors | 22c | 1,342$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Warriors | 21c | 1,300$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors | 22c | 1,238$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.97 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Warriors | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f1…a885backed Warriors | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Warriors | 7c | 1,060$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Warriors | 14c | 1,059$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.13 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Warriors | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Warriors | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 8.2%11 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Warriors | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Warriors | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Warriors | 6c | 1,000$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Warriors | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Warriors | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Warriors | 27c | 999.97$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers | 79c | 974.96$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.96 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 19c | 974.6$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Warriors | 18c | 972.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.33 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Warriors | 18c | 972.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…0c12backed Warriors | 26c | 934.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Pacers | 78c | 841.97$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Warriors | 24c | 818.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors | 18c | 769.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Warriors | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Warriors | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Warriors | 17c | 704.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.85 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Pacers | 68c | 690.44$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.01 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Warriors | 30c | 688.52$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.77 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Warriors | 26c | 686$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Warriors | 19c | 685.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Warriors | 19c | 642.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Warriors | 23c | 603.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.18 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Warriors | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors | 27c | 596.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Warriors | 33c | 566.12$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.62 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…9a4bbacked Warriors | 34c | 535.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Warriors | 20c | 535$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 25c | 534.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…7851backed Warriors | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…c6e8backed Warriors | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Warriors | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Warriors | 17c | 521.81$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 20c | 515$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d7…676fbacked Warriors | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Warriors | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Warriors | 23c | 421.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Warriors | 22c | 399.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…42f3backed Warriors | 25c | 399.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63b…0db2backed Warriors | 27c | 392.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…19e2backed Pacers | 75c | 378.39$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Warriors | 8c | 374.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…eb27backed Warriors | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…b664backed Warriors | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Pacers | 73c | 350.14$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.54 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Warriors | 24c | 350.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.65 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Warriors | 11c | 350$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Warriors | 27c | 350$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 230 | 48.3%111 W · 119 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Warriors | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…2c58backed Warriors | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Pacers | 72c | 348.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.72 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef4…a1b5backed Warriors | 17c | 340$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.