NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ec1b8e3fc7ab7a03d4459870c424fe72c478072285f9f500f9592488f02e12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $372,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,610
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Suns | 2c | 69,769$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.37 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Thunder | 57c | 18,474$10,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,991.51 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Suns | 14c | 14,656$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.84 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Suns | 14c | 11,521$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.26 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Suns | 14c | 7,143$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Suns | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6746…5bfdbacked Suns | 36c | 5,926$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Suns | 17c | 5,189$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.08 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Suns | 2c | 5,141$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 15c | 4,692$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.32 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns | 22c | 4,470$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.64 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Thunder | 78c | 4,299$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.13 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Thunder | 69c | 3,598$2,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.04 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Suns | 16c | 3,029$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.95 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Suns | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Suns | 24c | 2,991$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.84 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Thunder | 71c | 2,790$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.51 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Suns | 15c | 2,719$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Suns | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Suns | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0a…e4eabacked Thunder | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 157 | 63.1%99 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Suns | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Suns | 15c | 2,450$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.52 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Thunder | 78c | 2,328$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.36 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Suns | 12c | 2,224$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Suns | 15c | 1,993$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Suns | 25c | 1,617$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.2 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Suns | 16c | 1,563$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Thunder | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.67 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 72c | 1,429$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.99 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Suns | 16c | 1,357$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…43a9backed Suns | 11c | 1,350$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Suns | 15c | 1,335$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Suns | 14c | 1,287$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.94 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Suns | 20c | 1,226$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Suns | 3c | 1,202$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…bbcbbacked Suns | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…6631backed Suns | 12c | 1,163$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ab…c5f7backed Suns | 35c | 1,126$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Suns | 15c | 1,071$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.71 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Suns | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Suns | 17c | 1,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Suns | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb8…3667backed Suns | 11c | 900$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Suns | 13c | 899.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.96 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Suns | 17c | 824.51$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Suns | 16c | 816.67$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Suns | 15c | 714.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…9bfcbacked Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Suns | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa71…184cbacked Suns | 15c | 666.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Suns | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…de14backed Suns | 15c | 590.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Suns | 15c | 504.43$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed Suns | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Suns | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Suns | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Suns | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Suns | 21c | 471.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.97 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Suns | 2c | 449.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Thunder | 4c | 433.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.66 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Suns | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Suns | 30c | 396.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Suns | 16c | 377$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Suns | 12c | 375$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns | 13c | 368.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Suns | 33c | 365.68$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Suns | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Suns | 15c | 333.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…13b0backed Suns | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdc…a9bfbacked Suns | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Suns | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Suns | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…0e15backed Suns | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Suns | 14c | 311.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Suns | 14c | 305$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Suns | 20c | 303.35$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Suns | 18c | 300.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Suns | 34c | 295.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…6b35backed Suns | 14c | 271.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…3458backed Suns | 15c | 265.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Suns | 25c | 263.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Suns | 15c | 260$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ece…2340backed Thunder | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns | 17c | 253.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5f…33b2backed Suns | 14c | 250.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Suns | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Suns | 16c | 249.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf86…601fbacked Suns | 12c | 213.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 501 | 44.7%224 W · 277 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Suns | 24c | 210.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Suns | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Suns | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Suns | 15c | 199.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Suns | 14c | 199.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 930 | 41.9%390 W · 540 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Suns | 13c | 189.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01f8…21f8backed Suns | 7c | 189$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Suns | 16c | 175$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…902dbacked Suns | 15c | 173.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…ff3bbacked Suns | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Suns | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.