NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Islanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6e7c83b8378dae1e39ec05ee618ead24a0d7d7d7a43dfdb66c6c8f1b313b32d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Capitals, Islanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3fa…4249backed Capitals | 57c | 19,557$11,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,147.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073d…887dbacked Islanders | 43c | 12,940$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…2f8dbacked Islanders | 43c | 6,755$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Capitals | 58c | 5,501$3,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Islanders | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Capitals | 58c | 4,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.97 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Islanders | 43c | 3,551$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.26 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Islanders | 42c | 2,399$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,388.13 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Islanders | 41c | 2,329$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.04 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Capitals | 25c | 2,237$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.15 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Capitals | 33c | 2,057$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.82 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6310backed Islanders | 43c | 1,512$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.63 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Capitals | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Islanders | 43c | 1,480$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Islanders | 42c | 1,341$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Capitals | 25c | 1,204$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Islanders | 42c | 1,176$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Islanders | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Capitals | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Capitals | 52c | 924.55$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Islanders | 41c | 842.06$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Islanders | 42c | 779.9$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Islanders | 42c | 705.51$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.19 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Capitals | 58c | 700.05$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Capitals | 57c | 628.93$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.49 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Capitals | 25c | 611.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.33 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Capitals | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Capitals | 22c | 545.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Capitals | 58c | 514.98$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd361…3885backed Islanders | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 56c | 489.21$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Islanders | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Islanders | 76c | 459.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 19c | 457.19$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Capitals | 24c | 405$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Islanders | 42c | 397.07$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3cb…d41ebacked Islanders | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0211…8073backed Capitals | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…021fbacked Capitals | 34c | 350$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Capitals | 57c | 336.5$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Capitals | 57c | 329.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Capitals | 57c | 325.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.47 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b0…c712backed Islanders | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…b2b4backed Capitals | 58c | 295.2$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…8e1dbacked Islanders | 80c | 290.1$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Capitals | 58c | 257.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.04 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 16c | 254.79$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 13c | 252.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Capitals | 58c | 221.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.74 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 16c | 212.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Islanders | 41c | 206.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.77 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…af0ebacked Capitals | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Capitals | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Capitals | 59c | 194.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.68 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Capitals | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…5c0cbacked Capitals | 26c | 154.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Capitals | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c32…09dfbacked Islanders | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 42c | 142.87$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Islanders | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x475a…403abacked Islanders | 69c | 131.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9963…0bdebacked Capitals | 58c | 131.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…e883backed Islanders | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed Capitals | 58c | 127.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.02 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…f2babacked Islanders | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Islanders | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…0cf9backed Islanders | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…c25ebacked Capitals | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Islanders | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…edfabacked Islanders | 42c | 97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…e927backed Capitals | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…aebebacked Islanders | 42c | 93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…dfbbbacked Capitals | 58c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Capitals | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…a3eabacked Islanders | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…6fc9backed Capitals | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Capitals | 58c | 87.9$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d71…b28ebacked Capitals | 58c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f5…a923backed Islanders | 42c | 87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Islanders | 79c | 85.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…48d1backed Capitals | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Islanders | 43c | 83.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Capitals | 58c | 79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5b…9164backed Capitals | 59c | 78.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…dba9backed Capitals | 58c | 76.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Islanders | 42c | 75.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f46…500abacked Capitals | 23c | 75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Capitals | 58c | 74.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…8dc1backed Islanders | 42c | 72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e37…24aebacked Capitals | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…fd82backed Islanders | 42c | 71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…295cbacked Capitals | 58c | 71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Capitals | 50c | 70.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…1bd7backed Capitals | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…9628backed Capitals | 57c | 69.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Capitals | 57c | 69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…30e9backed Capitals | 58c | 68.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Capitals | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.