TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6072…fb46

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
244
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT9543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 95 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.1
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.94
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$69.35
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+60.7%+$34
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$68
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$64
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$180
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+426.3%+$729
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$319.5
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+360.5%+$821.83
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$158
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$156
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$76
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$34
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 95 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2025, EDT5954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$36
Maple Leafs vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$21.5
Panthers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+347.2%+$142.33
Avalanche vs. Starsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Kings vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$61.99
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$35.5
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$27
Hurricanes vs. Devilsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.59
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Panthers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Golden Knights vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+100%+$25
Capitals vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$41.4
Blues vs. Krakenbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Wild vs. Flamesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$53
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$43
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.99
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Lightning vs. Rangersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$44
Golden Knights vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT4445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 47°F or below on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.68
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 57-58°F on March 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$8.68
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 55-56°F on March 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on March 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$39
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.52
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on March 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be between 61-62°F on March 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on March 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 52-53°F on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Will the highest temperature in London be between 62-63°F on March 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$25.6
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.4
Will the highest temperature in London be between 68-69°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+90.4%+$37.5
Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+150%+$36
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 48-49°F on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT2937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Athletics vs. Marlinsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
Diamondbacks vs. Philliesbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.8
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Seattle Mariners vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.5
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
New York Mets vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.99
Houston Astros vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$45
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+75.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arkansas vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.28
Illinois vs. Kentuckybacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+48.2%+$9.2
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213.08
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$96.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahce win on 2025-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$48.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Demi Moore win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.