Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb128e5a640692cc8e6e24a734b5ee7d29f06ca1138d321c70bd440bee5c9306d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe953…a2efbacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…5d73backed Yes | 30c | 865$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 11c | 856.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 84 | 10.7%9 W · 75 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabe8…d32dbacked Yes | 36c | 790$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…a21bbacked No | 64c | 765$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6d37backed No | 63c | 680$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…4830backed Yes | 37c | 615$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed38…4f73backed Yes | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b0…4f40backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cb…1709backed No | 5c | 465$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…70bcbacked No | 68c | 440$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…2ea9backed Yes | 37c | 410$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…5bcebacked No | 49c | 407.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.19 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked Yes | 37c | 315$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 26c | 313.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 95 | 23.2%22 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…8c1ebacked Yes | 32c | 305$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…9249backed Yes | 32c | 305$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…c97bbacked No | 64c | 255$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fc…6eb7backed No | 64c | 240$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ce94backed No | 64c | 235$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c1…e8b0backed No | 24c | 214.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 116 | 27.6%32 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…2548backed Yes | 36c | 195$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…9154backed No | 64c | 190$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…f59bbacked Yes | 37c | 175$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…c1debacked No | 64c | 175$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +101.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…2dfebacked No | 64c | 170$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…b9cebacked No | 64c | 165$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…abbabacked No | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…41fabacked No | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0641…1985backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…7f7cbacked No | 64c | 145$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…ffecbacked No | 63c | 145$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…26c6backed No | 70c | 145$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12d…0e75backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…ebedbacked No | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e3f2backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4491…4346backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed Yes | 36c | 135$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb550…2a20backed No | 70c | 135$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked No | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 35c | 125.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cb…9474backed No | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3f…4a6ebacked No | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…926abacked No | 63c | 125$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked No | 70c | 115$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…532fbacked Yes | 36c | 115$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…4d98backed No | 70c | 115$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e23…ac50backed No | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…21dbbacked No | 15c | 105.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…7220backed Yes | 37c | 105$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…4eadbacked No | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…2ff0backed No | 63c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -71%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9626…3cdabacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 57c | 82.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…0971backed Yes | 32c | 77.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb182…005fbacked Yes | 45c | 77.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 600 | 33.8%203 W · 397 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4210…dd70backed Yes | 55c | 73.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Yes | 41c | 72.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc6…52c6backed Yes | 57c | 70.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 28c | 67.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…087cbacked No | 67c | 63.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622f…e730backed No | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 40.3%75 W · 111 L | +20.1wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked No | 67c | 59.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…5c41backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaecc…1f6ebacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…02f2backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +368.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…241cbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…cf41backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3954…e641backed No | 70c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…7cbebacked No | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c6c7backed Yes | 62c | 43.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…a016backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…d162backed No | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…8578backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…5530backed No | 70c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c1…e39cbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Yes | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 382 | 43.2%165 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1a2dbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f5…17d7backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0e…b3f3backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed No | 51c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…21fcbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…a2b4backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…a6babacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on March 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 51°F or below on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 54-55°F on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on March 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.