TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Braves vs. Pirates

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Piratesof Braves, Pirates
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,781
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,939

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,781 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91c8…6675backed Pirates43c9,999$4,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,699.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+141.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac71…0b9abacked Braves57c9,995$5,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,697.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b9…af0abacked Pirates44c9,219$4,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,162.397250%36 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Braves56c8,535$4,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,779.61,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Pirates43c7,824$3,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.7744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates43c4,222$1,815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.4598149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Braves1c3,575$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…94cbbacked Pirates43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Braves57c1,986$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.14632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Braves59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf619…4efebacked Braves57c1,512$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.832055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9e…f27abacked Pirates43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8554854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ed…5109backed Braves57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Braves57c1,500$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.0110746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Braves56c1,458$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.541643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Braves49c1,358$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4111036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Braves58c1,184$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.594030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Braves12c1,111$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3220523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Braves58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Pirates43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Braves56c999.88$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9351151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Braves57c993.95$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5524553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Braves56c921.94$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.2933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb070…96f7backed Braves57c758.12$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6ac…957dbacked Braves57c750$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.53748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Pirates44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33695850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a6b…bfacbacked Pirates44c571.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.821973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Braves57c548$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.3627751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves57c533.27$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.962,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Braves35c500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1773243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Pirates44c485.93$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.1299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…73e6backed Braves30c484.96$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0614539.3%57 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pirates66c473.35$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1263942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pirates42c454.69$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.511,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Braves8c447.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.372488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Braves29c447$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.551,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Braves58c382.76$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22239160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…81f0backed Braves5c350$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53231.3%10 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Braves48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1442,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Braves56c293.1$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.1437649.5%186 W · 190 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates41c246.3$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Braves58c245.87$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4280955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Braves58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Braves58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11693240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11692754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Braves13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Braves35c186.86$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.972,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Braves12c179.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.881,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b36…fd74backed Braves57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ba…0627backed Braves57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Braves58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Braves58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Braves57c154$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5443250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8c…4bc2backed Pirates44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.642245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Braves58c112.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6538245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d8…74d6backed Braves57c111$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19af…298cbacked Pirates43c111$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Braves13c107.07$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Braves57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5719849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93f…d17cbacked Braves59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pirates42c95.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.361,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd435…fababacked Pirates43c92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb97…add3backed Braves54c85.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.077142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd428…92d8backed Braves46c81.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.421668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8467…d8aebacked Braves57c78.95$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a5…5e6fbacked Braves58c72.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc875…70f0backed Pirates43c72.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1321…bc3fbacked Braves58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda38…e810backed Braves57c57.02$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f3…d3aabacked Pirates44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe860…f9b7backed Pirates43c55.81$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves58c52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates43c50.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.772,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Pirates43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.546753.7%251 W · 216 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Pirates42c49.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9714050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8128…456cbacked Pirates43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf4…0323backed Pirates43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76b5…c1cebacked Pirates44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.459157.1%52 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Braves57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2555152.5%289 W · 262 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Braves58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1689…7915backed Braves58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Pirates43c41.98$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.147651.3%39 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Braves25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6072…fb46backed Braves56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.42937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pirates53c39.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.749,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f19…72d9backed Pirates42c38$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0441649%204 W · 212 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Braves56c37.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0220944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf529…669cbacked Braves57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d8a…7dcebacked Braves57c36.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dad…ce46backed Pirates44c36.84$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Pirates43c34.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.829543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x870e…8b7bbacked Braves58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c8…823abacked Braves58c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Braves58c29.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1774356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d6e…f363backed Pirates44c27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.122055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Pirates56c26.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa77c…cb14backed Braves57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…46b3backed Braves58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x18dc…0fcabacked Braves58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.