TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d6e…f363

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$37.1
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.3
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Cubs vs. Piratesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.12
Rays vs. Cubsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.48
Guardians vs. Diamondbacksbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.51
White Sox vs. Royalsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.72
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$7.92
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$19.98
Brewers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.17
Rays vs. Yankeesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.95
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Astros vs. Marinersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$23.52
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Tigers vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$15.93
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Diamondbacks vs. Blue Jaysbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$18.29
Angels vs. Oriolesbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Rockies vs. Marlinsbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$17.92
Braves vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$15.12
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$39.06
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.75
Blues vs. Starsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$65.2
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+222.6%+$104.88
Flames vs. Kingsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Rangers vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$48.14
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$37.84
Penguins vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$18
Wild vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$16.34
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$19.72
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.81
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$58.65
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30.3
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$29.43
Pelicans vs. Pacersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$66.4
Nuggets vs. Rocketsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+122.2%+$46.2
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.92
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$5.94
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$17.1
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.56
Will Barcelona win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$14.28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State vs. Georgia Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$15.12
Northwestern vs. Tulanebacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$88.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$69.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
49ers vs. Brownsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+42.9%+$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$28.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.97
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.