MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ff931f607260871825bf34eefa4bc38e6356ca3aac663cdadcf90e4f7f5730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Tigers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,736
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,736 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Nationals | 43c | 45,438$19,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,899.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Nationals | 44c | 29,446$12,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,489.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers | 56c | 25,555$14,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,310.8 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tigers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Nationals | 44c | 12,890$5,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,195.23 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Tigers | 56c | 12,761$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.97 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 8c | 11,905$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.52 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 59c | 11,122$6,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tigers | 27c | 9,873$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e1dcbacked Tigers | 3c | 9,850$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Nationals | 50c | 9,760$4,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,880 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…3332backed Tigers | 57c | 9,380$5,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,346.77 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers | 7c | 9,064$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Tigers | 9c | 7,526$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.05 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Tigers | 56c | 6,900$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Tigers | 0c | 6,095$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Tigers | 57c | 5,796$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.88 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Tigers | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…9967backed Tigers | 10c | 4,989$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Tigers | 56c | 4,500$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Tigers | 56c | 3,900$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Tigers | 79c | 3,713$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 15c | 3,570$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.79 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Tigers | 57c | 3,479$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Tigers | 56c | 3,300$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 42c | 2,596$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.62 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Tigers | 6c | 2,241$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Tigers | 59c | 2,179$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.34 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Tigers | 58c | 2,112$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.96 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Tigers | 1c | 2,095$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Nationals | 42c | 2,045$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.08 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Tigers | 62c | 1,857$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.6 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers | 1c | 1,814$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Tigers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers | 55c | 1,550$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.31 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Tigers | 1c | 1,335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Nationals | 35c | 1,236$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.66 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nationals | 41c | 1,094$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.6 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Tigers | 14c | 1,047$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.38 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Tigers | 16c | 967.85$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tigers | 9c | 935.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.25 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Tigers | 56c | 883.33$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.31 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nationals | 43c | 878.22$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.44 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Nationals | 65c | 848.15$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers | 54c | 827.75$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.88 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Tigers | 18c | 791$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.04 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tigers | 58c | 786.4$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2209…823ebacked Tigers | 57c | 780.7$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Nationals | 44c | 779.55$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 77c | 760.23$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Tigers | 24c | 755$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.25 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Nationals | 68c | 708.61$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Tigers | 9c | 694.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.44 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Tigers | 33c | 572.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e8…fa8fbacked Nationals | 44c | 570$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Nationals | 55c | 552$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Nationals | 80c | 471.87$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 22c | 460$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe341…273bbacked Tigers | 59c | 458.64$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Nationals | 61c | 453.56$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 8c | 430.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Tigers | 31c | 407.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…b798backed Tigers | 6c | 401.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Tigers | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Tigers | 57c | 377$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Nationals | 39c | 372.79$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Tigers | 57c | 370.18$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Tigers | 45c | 369.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Tigers | 80c | 352.39$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c28dbacked Tigers | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Tigers | 60c | 305$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…e7b5backed Nationals | 41c | 302$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers | 40c | 297.72$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34a…8251backed Tigers | 59c | 278.22$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Tigers | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1774…3166backed Nationals | 41c | 256$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Tigers | 56c | 248.75$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Tigers | 57c | 242.11$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 57c | 236.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Tigers | 21c | 235.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5393…6197backed Tigers | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Tigers | 73c | 214.78$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers | 56c | 212.69$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Tigers | 18c | 204.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Tigers | 57c | 203$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32a1…a0babacked Nationals | 41c | 202$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.