MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec5da6c34c986c57e7a71c39476e0fd33da77924b4edc1cc605b5c52af663151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Rays, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,738
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,738 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rays | 41c | 76,624$31,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,049.46 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 61c | 60,108$36,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,661.17 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 59c | 54,521$32,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,321.95 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Cubs | 59c | 23,525$13,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,545.25 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 42c | 16,915$7,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.31 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rays | 40c | 16,429$6,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,571.43 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rays | 40c | 13,021$5,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,208.59 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 15c | 11,300$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.51 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 40c | 7,796$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.52 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 41c | 5,640$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.74 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 60c | 5,621$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 39c | 5,243$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.27 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rays | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rays | 39c | 4,782$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.14 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 14c | 4,745$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.24 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 20c | 3,923$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.52 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cubs | 60c | 3,511$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.21 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Cubs | 60c | 2,976$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.36 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Rays | 20c | 2,055$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Rays | 39c | 2,013$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.98 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cubs | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Cubs | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 60c | 1,836$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.4 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 41c | 1,818$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.16 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Rays | 13c | 1,766$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.71 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 39c | 1,665$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.47 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 39c | 1,566$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.29 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 28c | 1,538$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Rays | 40c | 1,503$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.19 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 55c | 1,447$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.69 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 38c | 1,371$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 39c | 1,334$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.26 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Cubs | 61c | 1,315$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.81 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 41c | 1,137$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Cubs | 26c | 1,000$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 39c | 970.99$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.69 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 58c | 899$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.45 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Cubs | 60c | 876$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.4 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 39c | 774$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.86 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 5c | 737.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 24c | 691.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.52 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 60c | 667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 60c | 666$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 62c | 622.98$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 41c | 618.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cubs | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Rays | 6c | 553$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 39c | 529.91$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 4c | 527.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 39c | 525$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.23 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Rays | 72c | 517.22$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rays | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Rays | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 39c | 499.98$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rays | 40c | 494.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Rays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…3dd5backed Rays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rays | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Cubs | 60c | 487.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Cubs | 60c | 487.7$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.08 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Rays | 24c | 466.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 41c | 429.27$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 34c | 389.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Cubs | 48c | 385.01$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cubs | 52c | 384$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.32 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Rays | 13c | 380$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 20c | 344.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Rays | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs | 60c | 330.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.6 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Cubs | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Cubs | 60c | 323.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 39c | 315.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rays | 50c | 314.57$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Cubs | 61c | 295.08$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rays | 15c | 288.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 41c | 258.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Cubs | 62c | 241.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rays | 40c | 210$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed Cubs | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Rays | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rays | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Cubs | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Rays | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Cubsthis page
- Rays vs. Cubs: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.