MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5824a407441624b502c56202016428aa8c800aaabf3903f6d48805fbe39e66b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof White Sox, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 58c | 17,338$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,338.21 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 42c | 8,840$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.71 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed White Sox | 43c | 5,041$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 43c | 4,620$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.67 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed White Sox | 45c | 4,480$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Royals | 57c | 4,154$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,786.22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Royals | 75c | 3,155$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.51 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Royals | 75c | 2,271$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.11 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked White Sox | 24c | 2,095$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed White Sox | 30c | 1,999$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.9 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 56c | 1,922$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.04 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Royals | 56c | 1,271$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.78 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 43c | 1,158$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.07 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 21c | 849.82$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.27 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdec…17a2backed Royals | 57c | 701.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d3…82c0backed White Sox | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 44c | 681$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Royals | 80c | 627.34$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.31 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…97ecbacked Royals | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Royals | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked White Sox | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Royals | 57c | 498.63$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Royals | 56c | 461.68$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.14 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 41c | 419.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed White Sox | 24c | 411.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Royals | 59c | 399.97$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Royals | 54c | 345.4$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.15 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Royals | 61c | 327.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…be8bbacked White Sox | 42c | 301.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked White Sox | 44c | 295.25$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.91 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed White Sox | 9c | 283.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…e87cbacked Royals | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked White Sox | 15c | 259.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 61c | 245.07$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Royals | 57c | 236.84$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed White Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed White Sox | 14c | 204$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed White Sox | 40c | 176.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Royals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d2bcbacked Royals | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ab…e817backed White Sox | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Royals | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Royals | 56c | 147$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Royals | 72c | 139.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Royals | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.31 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…2203backed White Sox | 10c | 113.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Royals | 56c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed White Sox | 29c | 107.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Royals | 57c | 104.83$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked White Sox | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…7c47backed Royals | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x589b…1c41backed White Sox | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Royals | 64c | 99.05$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Royals | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked White Sox | 16c | 72.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Royals | 58c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Royals | 60c | 55.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Royals | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked White Sox | 34c | 42.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…db9dbacked Royals | 57c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…f363backed White Sox | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…ac8dbacked White Sox | 41c | 37.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 268 | 45.5%122 W · 146 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Royals | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Royals | 57c | 25.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4f…52febacked Royals | 57c | 22.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Royals | 58c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…ba35backed Royals | 59c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Royals | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…0300backed Royals | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…a3ecbacked Royals | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.