MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92c04125c25a428c50771e1dc5d1aaf4b81fe16f249de35797298accb9e66b12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $944,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,050,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $944,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Astros | 43c | 570,101$245,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324,958.39 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 58c | 176,632$102,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,626.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 57c | 90,492$51,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,580.44 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Astros | 43c | 84,264$36,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,941.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 57c | 79,123$45,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,086.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mariners | 57c | 51,952$29,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,534.28 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 57c | 46,813$26,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,665.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed Mariners | 57c | 46,510$26,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,510.7 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 42c | 43,277$18,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,175.66 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Astros | 71c | 36,272$25,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,518.56 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 57c | 22,027$12,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,586.75 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mariners | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.99 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 58c | 19,500$11,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,325.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 37c | 17,978$6,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,688.36 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mariners | 59c | 12,120$7,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150.92 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Mariners | 2c | 10,175$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mariners | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000.04 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 51c | 8,133$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,008.55 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mariners | 57c | 6,800$3,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.14 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 40c | 6,693$2,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mariners | 57c | 6,200$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534 | 1,157 | 49.2%569 W · 588 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 43c | 5,500$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.98 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Mariners | 56c | 4,640$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.79 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 54c | 4,405$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 47c | 4,015$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.19 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…44c4backed Mariners | 56c | 4,000$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mariners | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 44c | 3,327$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.84 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Astros | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 57c | 2,831$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Astros | 43c | 2,430$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.01 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 17c | 2,386$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.67 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 64c | 2,111$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.48 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 41c | 1,598$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.56 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Mariners | 6c | 1,571$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 54c | 1,544$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.94 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Astros | 79c | 1,514$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.43 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Mariners | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Mariners | 53c | 1,480$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a88…68b2backed Astros | 47c | 1,480$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.4 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 44c | 1,295$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.45 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Mariners | 41c | 1,224$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 45c | 1,219$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.56 | 5,235 | 56.8%2,972 W · 2,263 L | +130.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a58ebacked Mariners | 58c | 1,182$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.65 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 42c | 1,178$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.28 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 55c | 1,146$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.37 | 995 | 49.9%497 W · 498 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Astros | 44c | 1,137$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.72 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 5c | 1,062$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…a3f8backed Astros | 44c | 950$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Astros | 26c | 900$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.18 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Astros | 27c | 892.14$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.14 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Astros | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Mariners | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 63c | 873.09$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.48 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Mariners | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6966…7a8dbacked Mariners | 57c | 850$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba9e…97c0backed Mariners | 57c | 824.56$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…d354backed Astros | 44c | 820.45$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 79c | 783.99$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 44c | 777$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 50c | 703$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.95 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 57c | 701.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 628 | 46.2%290 W · 338 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Mariners | 56c | 699.99$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Mariners | 58c | 662.84$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.76 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Mariners | 58c | 625.55$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.82 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners | 64c | 570$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.3 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 68c | 560.27$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.04 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,219 | 40.4%493 W · 726 L | -33.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Astros | 43c | 454.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.54 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Mariners | 56c | 441.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 56c | 434.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.35 | 1,924 | 53.4%1,028 W · 896 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 44c | 416$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.23 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Astros | 44c | 404.55$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 45c | 362.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.24 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 632 | 52.7%333 W · 299 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 56c | 345.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 2,058 | 53.8%1,107 W · 951 L | +33.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Astros | 44c | 333.51$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Mariners | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Mariners | 63c | 323$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…9b19backed Astros | 30c | 311$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Astros | 77c | 310.26$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 10c | 300$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Mariners | 52c | 294.25$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Mariners | 64c | 268.94$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.86 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 56c | 264.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Astros | 43c | 256.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Astros | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 42c | 236.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.05 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 58c | 236$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…d42cbacked Astros | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Astros | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 923 | 50.1%462 W · 461 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.