MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe877153577de11aa4084cee3727afab000eb8d28d54b9af673b577ff72a2c1a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $499,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Nationals | 38c | 352,999$133,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133,770.52 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Brewers | 62c | 145,555$90,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,310.9 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 62c | 70,341$43,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,672.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Brewers | 63c | 54,500$34,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,335 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Brewers | 63c | 37,999$23,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,095.81 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Brewers | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Brewers | 62c | 18,000$11,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Nationals | 11c | 12,647$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.11 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brewers | 62c | 12,600$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Nationals | 38c | 12,203$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 62c | 6,287$3,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.06 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Nationals | 37c | 5,857$2,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 71c | 5,521$3,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Nationals | 8c | 5,345$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.85 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Nationals | 36c | 5,123$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,844.27 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers | 63c | 4,892$3,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.86 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 62c | 4,656$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.4 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 63c | 4,591$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.98 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 36c | 4,464$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.44 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Brewers | 62c | 4,145$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.1 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Brewers | 64c | 3,707$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.52 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 64c | 3,571$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.19 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Brewers | 73c | 3,233$2,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.44 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 62c | 2,749$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.14 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Brewers | 73c | 2,739$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.04 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 19c | 2,131$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.48 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 37c | 2,042$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.63 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Nationals | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Brewers | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Brewers | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Brewers | 64c | 1,374$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.46 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Nationals | 16c | 1,200$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 62c | 1,096$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 64c | 1,041$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.63 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 37c | 992$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.04 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Brewers | 74c | 945.66$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.87 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Nationals | 12c | 934.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 37c | 910.98$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.06 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Nationals | 19c | 860$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 63c | 750$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Brewers | 64c | 748.89$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 36c | 694.93$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Brewers | 62c | 676.44$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.05 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Brewers | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 9c | 616.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nationals | 32c | 600$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nationals | 2c | 600$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Nationals | 37c | 549.97$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.49 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Brewers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 37c | 499.95$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Brewers | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 37c | 414.85$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.83 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Nationals | 36c | 367.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.47 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 37c | 349.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Nationals | 4c | 327.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 6c | 322.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…6ecebacked Brewers | 63c | 320$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 36c | 319$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 16c | 313.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Nationals | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nationals | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nationals | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Brewers | 77c | 248.21$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 62c | 239.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.19 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Nationals | 7c | 211.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 64c | 209.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Nationals | 15c | 207$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brewers | 63c | 206.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Brewers | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Nationals | 34c | 199.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Brewers | 61c | 193.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.59 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Nationals | 12c | 183.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e43dbacked Nationals | 38c | 176.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…0a62backed Brewers | 63c | 151.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5d…7af4backed Nationals | 38c | 148.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…31a4backed Nationals | 39c | 142.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Nationals | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Brewers | 64c | 139.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Nationals | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Nationals | 38c | 108.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Nationals | 37c | 107.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Nationals | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Nationals | 37c | 98.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 63c | 98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.