MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7989563c76e4dc4a2e4422757fd92138b64386e4a65401e3db1f7230025f77a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $477,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $477,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs | 59c | 116,267$68,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,160.72 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cubs | 56c | 107,960$60,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,506.85 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Pirates | 44c | 73,257$32,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,233.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cubs | 57c | 62,018$35,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,925.43 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 43c | 51,763$22,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,258.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 44c | 51,003$22,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,380.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 43c | 48,479$20,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,816.49 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Pirates | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.92 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 49c | 12,855$6,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,322.09 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 28c | 11,124$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,143.22 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e08…9726backed Cubs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Pirates | 43c | 7,757$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.13 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 43c | 5,200$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Pirates | 40c | 4,490$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.99 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 43c | 4,383$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pirates | 42c | 4,259$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.94 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 57c | 4,084$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750.89 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Pirates | 24c | 4,043$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.24 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cubs | 57c | 3,963$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.09 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cubs | 69c | 3,746$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.57 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,720$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.6 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 44c | 3,333$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.52 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs | 61c | 3,284$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.94 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cubs | 51c | 3,238$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,587.12 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Cubs | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Pirates | 38c | 2,597$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 40c | 2,363$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.6 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pirates | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Pirates | 44c | 2,272$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Pirates | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cubs | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cubs | 58c | 1,425$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.5 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Pirates | 44c | 1,370$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 60c | 1,286$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.87 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 42c | 1,284$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.17 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Cubs | 62c | 1,213$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.86 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Pirates | 43c | 1,207$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.01 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 44c | 1,162$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.31 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 8c | 1,111$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 29c | 1,037$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 41c | 1,000$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pirates | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f25…8ca8backed Pirates | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…9954backed Cubs | 59c | 923.06$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.68 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…2d43backed Cubs | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Pirates | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Cubs | 55c | 886.63$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cubs | 57c | 820.82$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.95 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 37c | 722.44$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 36c | 716.6$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 61c | 714.2$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.2 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cubs | 57c | 699$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.57 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Cubs | 60c | 615.43$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.43 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Pirates | 29c | 584.65$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pirates | 4c | 536.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 40c | 517.79$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Cubs | 70c | 508.4$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Pirates | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Pirates | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095a…2400backed Pirates | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pirates | 23c | 491.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Pirates | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Pirates | 51c | 454.84$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Cubs | 52c | 448.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pirates | 8c | 428.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Cubs | 58c | 426.6$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.17 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Cubs | 57c | 417.54$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.54 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Cubs | 49c | 411.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 44c | 401.98$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.87 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Pirates | 44c | 397.73$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs | 57c | 381.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.89 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cubs | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 56c | 358.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cubs | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Cubs | 62c | 333$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 22c | 323.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…a751backed Cubs | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 33c | 314.21$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Cubs | 57c | 312$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 44c | 303.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Pirates | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Cubs | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Pirates | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Pirates | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 59c | 271.53$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Cubs | 57c | 230$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Cubs | 56c | 228$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Cubs | 44c | 227.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Cubs | 57c | 227.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.91 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 56c | 224$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Pirates | 45c | 220.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Cubs | 57c | 220$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.6 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Pirates | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Piratesthis page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.