TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Blue Jays, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$191,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,935

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox41c26,758$10,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,911.021,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox35c20,201$7,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,157.6797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays57c20,055$11,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.6726355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb50f…1046backed Blue Jays66c16,667$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays61c13,474$8,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,21828646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox66c9,349$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,214.0986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b0…6815backed Blue Jays63c9,119$5,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,7502437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed White Sox43c8,760$3,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,001.3960249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox54c6,508$3,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,992.6241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox47c5,588$2,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,985.41,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Blue Jays49c5,500$2,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,71515745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfa…b7b1backed Blue Jays61c5,380$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.973727%10 W · 27 L-11.5wins-0.31per pick58cpaid-53.6%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox41c5,227$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,077.512,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays38c5,044$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.669,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays59c4,407$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.1132852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Blue Jays64c4,366$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox41c4,246$1,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.431,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Blue Jays47c4,232$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.842157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox39c4,119$1,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.051,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Blue Jays58c3,843$2,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,215.9113946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20e2…667fbacked White Sox43c3,825$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.253625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked White Sox50c3,525$1,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,763.358540%34 W · 51 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…d0c5backed Blue Jays56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed White Sox41c3,172$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.5912650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed White Sox40c3,000$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,79095850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox42c2,592$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.072,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Blue Jays34c1,911$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7117927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked White Sox43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.191,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays56c1,669$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.7166645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…d69cbacked White Sox41c1,600$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6b…5209backed White Sox41c1,522$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays35c1,417$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2423938.5%92 W · 147 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked White Sox40c1,415$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.115,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf513…8297backed Blue Jays62c1,360$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8431968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed White Sox42c1,200$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69628042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d50…3b2fbacked Blue Jays61c1,066$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed White Sox43c1,054$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.9523545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed White Sox39c1,049$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.316,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays40c1,027$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.4195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Blue Jays41c1,023$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41915543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Blue Jays36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked White Sox43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Blue Jays58c999.99$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.991,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…fde7backed Blue Jays60c999.98$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.996450%32 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf64a…27c9backed Blue Jays30c969.56$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.875545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked White Sox39c895.79$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.4373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Blue Jays32c886.53$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28418748.1%90 W · 97 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf71d…500dbacked Blue Jays59c856$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.04837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeec7…08c6backed Blue Jays60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays61c820.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed White Sox39c772.45$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ccc…660ebacked Blue Jays59c744$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Blue Jays59c698.94$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41514453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb4…acb6backed White Sox76c690$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1138…b2c8backed Blue Jays60c668.69$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+76.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed White Sox43c658.14$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.1438949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x226d…f49ebacked Blue Jays57c657.89$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3753636.1%13 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked White Sox43c647.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.9298149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays50c605.38$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12d…d764backed Blue Jays64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.643351.5%17 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-20.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Blue Jays57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays59c508.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f91…fc95backed Blue Jays60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked White Sox40c499.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.9914050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7b6…cfe5backed Blue Jays61c471.72$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2862040%8 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked White Sox40c469.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9350852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x108d…508abacked White Sox43c465.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.64443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Blue Jays59c440.68$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26099951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Blue Jays44c393.65$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722969%20 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox39c385$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.8544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked White Sox41c374.07$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.743247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked White Sox32c341.24$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.042236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037857.4%217 W · 161 L+1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe69b…6afdbacked Blue Jays35c328.29$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.94250%21 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x603f…eae9backed Blue Jays56c324.39$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.66742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays49c314.27$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1531,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Blue Jays60c308.33$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1857025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked White Sox40c306.98$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.199245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Blue Jays61c306.86$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3414235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda71…db66backed Blue Jays58c293.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1703865.8%25 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Blue Jays60c291.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.5315151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c67…13d1backed Blue Jays59c286.21$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x979f…98acbacked Blue Jays61c272.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1756…1d99backed Blue Jays60c266.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed White Sox59c264.19$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.171,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…824ebacked Blue Jays60c259.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.894854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed White Sox44c259.54$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked White Sox39c257$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7731347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd377…a0a5backed Blue Jays60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017149.7%85 W · 86 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed White Sox40c249.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Blue Jays51c236.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays57c233$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.811,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Blue Jays41c232.57$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1611446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Blue Jays66c227.27$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dea…8128backed White Sox42c211.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.746100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+103.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19f0…9e66backed Blue Jays58c203.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1183,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed White Sox40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.