TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rays vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yankeesof Rays, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$212,317

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,985 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4dae…f8b2backed Yankees62c21,513$13,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,141.613352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Rays18c14,200$2,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.2954345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rays4c13,890$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.281,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Rays14c8,336$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.3728053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cec…e65cbacked Rays35c6,699$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees62c6,400$3,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4321,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Rays47c5,309$2,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.1138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Rays37c5,022$1,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,858.111555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees63c4,483$2,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,674.82,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Rays38c4,381$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.7826355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f95…53b1backed Yankees65c3,845$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Yankees63c3,521$2,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.777548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d5…88c7backed Rays37c3,511$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.232356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed Yankees62c3,200$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,215.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c08…5d69backed Yankees64c3,125$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdeef…0cbfbacked Yankees65c3,077$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x658d…a549backed Rays36c2,775$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…fad6backed Rays38c2,600$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rays36c2,358$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858.8238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Rays36c2,148$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.250852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rays25c2,012$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.0543946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Yankees64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92fd…0ad5backed Rays37c1,900$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf88…52d4backed Rays37c1,900$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1045…6cf8backed Rays36c1,900$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7013…2c27backed Rays37c1,900$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees63c1,738$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.081,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rays37c1,581$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.9770946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x372f…3b19backed Yankees64c1,550$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…ea97backed Rays36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b02…d17bbacked Rays36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6043…0c7bbacked Yankees64c1,450$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+45.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Rays38c1,320$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.67349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff00…c146backed Rays4c1,244$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-79.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Rays38c1,200$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4561,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yankees64c1,130$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.6443247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b4e…4e46backed Yankees63c1,011$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36092754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yankees63c999.98$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.9995850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rays37c999.96$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0602…6677backed Yankees64c963$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick52cpaid+64%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x703b…e4d0backed Yankees63c963$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.31875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe0d…18ddbacked Yankees63c952$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.244100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06b9…9150backed Rays38c950$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d8…f77abacked Yankees63c948$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe112…15e5backed Yankees64c938$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+56.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d8f…9e4dbacked Yankees63c937$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Rays6c920.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0db4…cc65backed Yankees62c900$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3421163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8276…a06fbacked Yankees63c889$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.93771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rays36c879.9$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7750843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbccd…6aeebacked Yankees63c811.11$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.114045%18 W · 22 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Rays71c810$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.111040.9%45 W · 65 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Yankees64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28814453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Rays5c779.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2926650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rays36c739.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.424547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Yankees61c656.64$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Rays45c652.72$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.747143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rays18c616.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.266,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…450bbacked Rays36c584.1$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Yankees61c550$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.513247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Rays40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Yankees60c490.36$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.1420850%104 W · 104 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Yankees63c476.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.496553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Rays36c461.11$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16622546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Rays4c442.82$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8211553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees63c395$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.151,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Yankees35c358.74$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.289,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Rays15c350.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rays38c342.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6297…337fbacked Rays37c324.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.52,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rays37c303.44$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.291,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rays38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc48e…f355backed Rays37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Yankees55c290.69$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6311560%69 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dd…df92backed Yankees65c282.58$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.633548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd65a…5529backed Rays38c280$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Rays37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26ae…50e2backed Rays60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rays36c249.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rays36c248.11$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8931244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Yankees41c245.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.071,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Rays16c237.36$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4628949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Rays37c226.97$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9816552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ee4…b575backed Rays36c222.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8051245.1%231 W · 281 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x416a…fd6cbacked Rays38c220$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rays10c216.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Rays7c205.44$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3813145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Rays41c204.76$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8417239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c4…25e7backed Rays37c200$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736448.4%31 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11ca…c3c9backed Yankees63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743740.5%15 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Rays38c199.73$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.98253.7%44 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yankees80c182$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yankees63c172.98$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6413843.5%60 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Yankees61c169.78$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1180680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Rays14c169.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.19151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Rays37c165.79$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120138.8%78 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yankees63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.