TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Twinsof Twins, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,583

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ef5…1f71backed Twins38c9,996$3,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,197.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…74f3backed Tigers62c9,995$6,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,196.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers57c8,707$4,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.2760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins44c8,257$3,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,614.092,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Twins43c7,567$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,313.1345248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers56c4,775$2,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,673.9155053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Tigers45c3,967$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.8354941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins45c3,829$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.331,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Twins47c3,400$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8021,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Tigers55c3,393$1,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,866.266258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…c2f8backed Tigers57c3,346$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.893148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Twins70c2,915$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.5697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers29c2,789$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.659,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers59c2,741$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6121,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fdc…3ad2backed Tigers57c2,695$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.951040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Twins55c2,130$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.0686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Tigers54c2,109$1,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.1369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins46c2,032$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.331,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Twins44c2,007$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.6240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Twins43c2,007$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1395633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Twins46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d44…7d1bbacked Tigers54c1,941$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbda…bc5dbacked Twins48c1,938$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.76540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Tigers57c1,362$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.335648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Tigers45c1,319$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Tigers45c1,102$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Tigers19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Tigers57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Twins42c974.14$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56524553.5%131 W · 114 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0204…4604backed Tigers52c971$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d2…c66abacked Tigers52c966$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers12c964.34$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.512,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Twins46c862.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.2938949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers2c860.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6146631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Twins47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.061,01251.2%518 W · 494 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers54c799.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9951151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72cf…69aebacked Tigers58c689.66$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Twins44c632.96$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.465,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Twins47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3181,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers57c542.7$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3454048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Tigers57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff24…76c1backed Tigers53c470.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.629332.3%30 W · 63 L-16.8wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-36.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x605a…c6debacked Twins75c436$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10912267.2%82 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Tigers5c404.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Tigers62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.7442452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Twins46c381.63$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2df4…847bbacked Tigers54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x677f…3d69backed Tigers54c360$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers5c319.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.795053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Twins65c298.09$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.280680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Twins39c217.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.391172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Tigers54c216.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Twins43c200.32$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.52,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Twins47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Twins48c199.96$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.983,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Tigers41c194.37$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8052542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Tigers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x918c…57bdbacked Tigers58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Twins55c157.38$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.321,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins55c148$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2965549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Tigers69c145.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Tigers58c141$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7816947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c2a…1e46backed Tigers29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Twins46c135.2$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7314949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f14…bca0backed Twins46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.91060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfddd…b13cbacked Tigers54c135$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8822…73e9backed Tigers56c135$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…6c73backed Twins44c135$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7ceabacked Twins46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6993…1558backed Tigers54c130$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+48.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Twins52c128.72$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2520343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa588…2972backed Tigers54c126.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.053348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Twins47c122.72$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.041,08646.2%502 W · 584 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5398…5c6dbacked Tigers20c118$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.61136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2107…d72fbacked Twins47c117.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.153366.7%22 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Twins44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6447348.8%231 W · 242 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Tigers54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked Twins43c106.98$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9838743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f33…c1febacked Tigers54c105.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.411560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Twins45c102.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.21,40848.8%687 W · 721 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf002…047fbacked Tigers65c101.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.6116851.8%87 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Tigers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Tigers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Twins47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5378454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61e…de34backed Twins70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed Twins46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9917954.7%98 W · 81 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcbb5…f6fcbacked Tigers54c96.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.343231.3%10 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-41.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6eac…f924backed Twins71c95.3$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.642259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x758c…6730backed Twins48c94.81$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.33063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13af…d1cabacked Tigers54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011145%50 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff1…7e56backed Tigers55c89.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.471030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Tigers57c82.96$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6187…1746backed Tigers54c81.72$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.131353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Twins44c79.82$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.081,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b2…8364backed Tigers53c78.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e8…aeb6backed Tigers54c78.52$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.42962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Twins53c74.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c51…2b47backed Tigers54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-71.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3133…5b73backed Twins48c73.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.293351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.