MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10f0c86831143b8ed5b7c0b69648a08d044ebc345069b559d5deca1ecf4bc5c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Angels, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x616c…2ef3backed Orioles | 55c | 9,996$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,498.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ad…7fc3backed Angels | 45c | 9,996$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 53c | 9,000$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,190 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Angels | 46c | 8,551$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.68 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Angels | 47c | 4,241$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.48 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 52c | 4,147$2,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 64c | 3,908$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 50c | 3,417$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.75 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 20c | 3,149$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Angels | 49c | 3,000$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.2 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 39c | 2,600$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels | 2c | 2,409$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Orioles | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Angels | 2c | 1,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Orioles | 74c | 1,234$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.15 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 60c | 1,076$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Angels | 23c | 1,033$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Angels | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 52c | 978.91$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 3c | 936.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Angels | 23c | 738$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Orioles | 63c | 594.31$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Angels | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Orioles | 67c | 452$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.61 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Angels | 38c | 441.36$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Orioles | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Orioles | 56c | 358.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 30c | 336.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Angels | 22c | 317.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Orioles | 56c | 315.07$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf193…c32fbacked Angels | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…6b93backed Orioles | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Angels | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 53c | 228.78$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 47c | 214.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Angels | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Orioles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 44c | 182.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 28c | 142.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…19cfbacked Angels | 50c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Angels | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 52c | 116$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…ea41backed Orioles | 80c | 113.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 58cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Angels | 46c | 113.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Angels | 39c | 107.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Orioles | 72c | 102.14$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Orioles | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Angels | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Angels | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Orioles | 71c | 94$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Angels | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 54c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 52c | 75.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Orioles | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Orioles | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Angels | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Orioles | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Angels | 32c | 59.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5635…44a3backed Angels | 50c | 58.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1e…e135backed Orioles | 53c | 55.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Angels | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5b…0711backed Angels | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc811…a5b9backed Angels | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7eb9backed Orioles | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…adf4backed Angels | 47c | 36.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…3857backed Orioles | 54c | 34.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Orioles | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…f363backed Angels | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Orioles | 52c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…37dabacked Orioles | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 48c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Orioles | 63c | 20.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Orioles | 53c | 19.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.