Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x382924384a065a00be31531147a37ad28b27be6ea9c8600a20f4eb879efb0221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,344,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,346,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,344,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,045 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 0c | 168,149$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +96%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 136,125$45,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,426.09 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 95,392$31,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,912.43 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Yes | 68c | 70,000$47,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,499.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 66c | 64,815$42,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,977.43 | 79 | 24.1%19 W · 60 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…168fbacked Yes | 0c | 60,577$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Yes | 63c | 49,176$30,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,972.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 47,274$15,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,396.05 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 66c | 44,855$29,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,686.57 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Yes | 67c | 42,654$28,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,392.2 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 34c | 38,416$13,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,354.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…6d8dbacked Yes | 66c | 37,000$24,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,420 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 35c | 29,657$10,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,418.73 | 168 | 35.1%59 W · 109 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Yes | 64c | 27,703$17,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,673.12 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 34c | 24,725$8,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,424.09 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…7854backed Yes | 67c | 24,505$16,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,418.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…c6a6backed Yes | 0c | 23,502$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 34c | 19,639$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,955.57 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c2…553abacked Yes | 67c | 19,188$12,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,856.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 18,713$6,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,537.51 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 32c | 16,100$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,018.32 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 35c | 15,135$5,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,837.53 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 34c | 15,056$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.84 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,049.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 67c | 14,703$9,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,851.01 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 34c | 9,886$3,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba69…8e9dbacked No | 33c | 9,796$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,563.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…443ebacked Yes | 0c | 9,417$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 9,389$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,410.19 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 67c | 9,067$6,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,074.79 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 36c | 7,670$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,908.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 70c | 7,571$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,314.81 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Yes | 68c | 7,516$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed No | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 52c | 7,165$3,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.9 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Yes | 67c | 6,997$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688.22 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…dd13backed No | 37c | 6,988$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,402.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked No | 32c | 6,015$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 33c | 6,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked No | 33c | 5,936$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb546…802cbacked Yes | 68c | 5,669$3,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,854.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed No | 47c | 5,667$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.31 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 75c | 5,393$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022.54 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked Yes | 66c | 5,382$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…80c7backed Yes | 64c | 5,025$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 34c | 4,829$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.17 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 36c | 4,570$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.1 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…1374backed No | 33c | 4,466$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 32c | 4,400$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a1…b6babacked Yes | 67c | 4,389$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 69c | 4,266$2,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940.78 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…b5e6backed Yes | 71c | 4,156$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…d4bfbacked Yes | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 35c | 3,921$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.73 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90a…cea1backed Yes | 0c | 3,775$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55e…19c7backed Yes | 67c | 3,754$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.19 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 34c | 3,705$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.53 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 52c | 3,550$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 32c | 3,500$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.94 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…82a5backed Yes | 68c | 3,237$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.92 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed No | 34c | 3,176$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Yes | 68c | 3,039$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.22 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…21f3backed Yes | 65c | 3,035$1,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.91 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 35c | 2,746$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,784.71 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…bbb6backed Yes | 69c | 2,734$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 63c | 2,671$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.98 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 68c | 2,587$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.41 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 35c | 2,568$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.61 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 68c | 2,521$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.78 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked No | 34c | 2,436$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.13 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 33c | 2,388$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.18 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 63c | 2,334$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478 | 193 | 17.1%33 W · 160 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed No | 32c | 2,284$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.02 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 34c | 2,214$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 34c | 2,199$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452.29 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 67c | 2,194$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.3 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 67c | 2,194$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 69c | 2,143$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.93 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 32c | 2,050$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 36c | 1,995$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 37c | 1,972$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.34 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 34c | 1,969$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.42 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 69c | 1,963$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.33 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 68c | 1,866$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.91 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Yes | 6c | 1,751$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 33c | 1,719$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.85 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…0a8dbacked No | 33c | 1,680$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.88 | 122 | 6.6%8 W · 114 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed Yes | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 36c | 1,583$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 74c | 1,529$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.88 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a23…8ef9backed Yes | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 34c | 1,412$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.15 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed Yes | 67c | 1,406$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.11 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 1,391$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.36 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?this page
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Italy end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.