TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35f5…c6a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.45
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$29.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.18
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$20.14
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Detroit Tigers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$6.77
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.77
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$24.5
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.09
Athletics vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.43
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.57
Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.46
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.85
Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.18
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.93
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.32
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.7
Suns vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$23.09
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.93
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.25
Alperen Sengün: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Kevin Durant: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.58
Kings vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.52
Darius Garland: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$14.57
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$20.99
Kings vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.06
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Jets vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Blackhawks vs. Devilsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Predators vs. Lightningbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.62
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$77.65
All 6 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid-47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.